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Modeling nosocomial infection of COVID-19 transmission dynamics

COVID-19 epidemic has posed an unprecedented threat to global public health. The disease has alarmed the healthcare system with the harm of nosocomial infection. Nosocomial spread of COVID-19 has been discovered and reported globally in different healthcare facilities. Asymptomatic patients and supe...

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Autores principales: Masandawa, Lemjini, Mirau, Silas Steven, Mbalawata, Isambi Sailon, Paul, James Nicodemus, Kreppel, Katharina, Msamba, Oscar M.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9021122/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35469342
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2022.105503
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author Masandawa, Lemjini
Mirau, Silas Steven
Mbalawata, Isambi Sailon
Paul, James Nicodemus
Kreppel, Katharina
Msamba, Oscar M.
author_facet Masandawa, Lemjini
Mirau, Silas Steven
Mbalawata, Isambi Sailon
Paul, James Nicodemus
Kreppel, Katharina
Msamba, Oscar M.
author_sort Masandawa, Lemjini
collection PubMed
description COVID-19 epidemic has posed an unprecedented threat to global public health. The disease has alarmed the healthcare system with the harm of nosocomial infection. Nosocomial spread of COVID-19 has been discovered and reported globally in different healthcare facilities. Asymptomatic patients and super-spreaders are sough to be among of the source of these infections. Thus, this study contributes to the subject by formulating a [Formula: see text] mathematical model to gain the insight into nosocomial infection for COVID-19 transmission dynamics. The role of personal protective equipment [Formula: see text] is studied in the proposed model. Benefiting the next generation matrix method, [Formula: see text] was computed. Routh–Hurwitz criterion and stable Metzler matrix theory revealed that COVID-19-free equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable whenever [Formula: see text]. Lyapunov function depicted that the endemic equilibrium point is globally asymptotically stable when [Formula: see text]. Further, the dynamics behavior of [Formula: see text] was explored when varying [Formula: see text]. In the absence of [Formula: see text] , the value of [Formula: see text] was 8.4584 which implies the expansion of the disease. When [Formula: see text] is introduced in the model, [Formula: see text] was 0.4229, indicating the decrease of the disease in the community. Numerical solutions were simulated by using Runge–Kutta fourth-order method. Global sensitivity analysis is performed to present the most significant parameter. The numerical results illustrated mathematically that personal protective equipment can minimizes nosocomial infections of COVID-19.
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spelling pubmed-90211222022-04-21 Modeling nosocomial infection of COVID-19 transmission dynamics Masandawa, Lemjini Mirau, Silas Steven Mbalawata, Isambi Sailon Paul, James Nicodemus Kreppel, Katharina Msamba, Oscar M. Results Phys Article COVID-19 epidemic has posed an unprecedented threat to global public health. The disease has alarmed the healthcare system with the harm of nosocomial infection. Nosocomial spread of COVID-19 has been discovered and reported globally in different healthcare facilities. Asymptomatic patients and super-spreaders are sough to be among of the source of these infections. Thus, this study contributes to the subject by formulating a [Formula: see text] mathematical model to gain the insight into nosocomial infection for COVID-19 transmission dynamics. The role of personal protective equipment [Formula: see text] is studied in the proposed model. Benefiting the next generation matrix method, [Formula: see text] was computed. Routh–Hurwitz criterion and stable Metzler matrix theory revealed that COVID-19-free equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable whenever [Formula: see text]. Lyapunov function depicted that the endemic equilibrium point is globally asymptotically stable when [Formula: see text]. Further, the dynamics behavior of [Formula: see text] was explored when varying [Formula: see text]. In the absence of [Formula: see text] , the value of [Formula: see text] was 8.4584 which implies the expansion of the disease. When [Formula: see text] is introduced in the model, [Formula: see text] was 0.4229, indicating the decrease of the disease in the community. Numerical solutions were simulated by using Runge–Kutta fourth-order method. Global sensitivity analysis is performed to present the most significant parameter. The numerical results illustrated mathematically that personal protective equipment can minimizes nosocomial infections of COVID-19. The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. 2022-06 2022-04-21 /pmc/articles/PMC9021122/ /pubmed/35469342 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2022.105503 Text en © 2022 The Author(s) Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Masandawa, Lemjini
Mirau, Silas Steven
Mbalawata, Isambi Sailon
Paul, James Nicodemus
Kreppel, Katharina
Msamba, Oscar M.
Modeling nosocomial infection of COVID-19 transmission dynamics
title Modeling nosocomial infection of COVID-19 transmission dynamics
title_full Modeling nosocomial infection of COVID-19 transmission dynamics
title_fullStr Modeling nosocomial infection of COVID-19 transmission dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Modeling nosocomial infection of COVID-19 transmission dynamics
title_short Modeling nosocomial infection of COVID-19 transmission dynamics
title_sort modeling nosocomial infection of covid-19 transmission dynamics
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9021122/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35469342
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2022.105503
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