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Reproduction Number of the Omicron Variant Triples That of the Delta Variant

COVID-19 remains a persistent threat, especially with the predominant Omicron variant emerging in early 2022, presenting with high transmissibility, immune escape, and waning. There is a need to rapidly ramp up global vaccine coverage while enhancing public health and social measures. Timely and rel...

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Autores principales: Du, Zhanwei, Hong, Huaping, Wang, Shuqi, Ma, Lijia, Liu, Caifen, Bai, Yuan, Adam, Dillon C., Tian, Linwei, Wang, Lin, Lau, Eric H. Y., Cowling, Benjamin J.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9027795/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35458551
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/v14040821
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author Du, Zhanwei
Hong, Huaping
Wang, Shuqi
Ma, Lijia
Liu, Caifen
Bai, Yuan
Adam, Dillon C.
Tian, Linwei
Wang, Lin
Lau, Eric H. Y.
Cowling, Benjamin J.
author_facet Du, Zhanwei
Hong, Huaping
Wang, Shuqi
Ma, Lijia
Liu, Caifen
Bai, Yuan
Adam, Dillon C.
Tian, Linwei
Wang, Lin
Lau, Eric H. Y.
Cowling, Benjamin J.
author_sort Du, Zhanwei
collection PubMed
description COVID-19 remains a persistent threat, especially with the predominant Omicron variant emerging in early 2022, presenting with high transmissibility, immune escape, and waning. There is a need to rapidly ramp up global vaccine coverage while enhancing public health and social measures. Timely and reliable estimation of the reproduction number throughout a pandemic is critical for assessing the impact of mitigation efforts and the potential need to adjust for control measures. We conducted a systematic review on the reproduction numbers of the Omicron variant and gave the pooled estimates. We identified six studies by searching PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Google Scholar for articles published between 1 January 2020 and 6 March 2022. We estimate that the effective reproduction number ranges from 2.43 to 5.11, with a pooled estimate of 4.20 (95% CI: 2.05, 6.35). The Omicron variant has an effective reproduction number which is triple (2.71 (95% CI: 1.86, 3.56)) that of the Delta variant.
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spelling pubmed-90277952022-04-23 Reproduction Number of the Omicron Variant Triples That of the Delta Variant Du, Zhanwei Hong, Huaping Wang, Shuqi Ma, Lijia Liu, Caifen Bai, Yuan Adam, Dillon C. Tian, Linwei Wang, Lin Lau, Eric H. Y. Cowling, Benjamin J. Viruses Communication COVID-19 remains a persistent threat, especially with the predominant Omicron variant emerging in early 2022, presenting with high transmissibility, immune escape, and waning. There is a need to rapidly ramp up global vaccine coverage while enhancing public health and social measures. Timely and reliable estimation of the reproduction number throughout a pandemic is critical for assessing the impact of mitigation efforts and the potential need to adjust for control measures. We conducted a systematic review on the reproduction numbers of the Omicron variant and gave the pooled estimates. We identified six studies by searching PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Google Scholar for articles published between 1 January 2020 and 6 March 2022. We estimate that the effective reproduction number ranges from 2.43 to 5.11, with a pooled estimate of 4.20 (95% CI: 2.05, 6.35). The Omicron variant has an effective reproduction number which is triple (2.71 (95% CI: 1.86, 3.56)) that of the Delta variant. MDPI 2022-04-15 /pmc/articles/PMC9027795/ /pubmed/35458551 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/v14040821 Text en © 2022 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Communication
Du, Zhanwei
Hong, Huaping
Wang, Shuqi
Ma, Lijia
Liu, Caifen
Bai, Yuan
Adam, Dillon C.
Tian, Linwei
Wang, Lin
Lau, Eric H. Y.
Cowling, Benjamin J.
Reproduction Number of the Omicron Variant Triples That of the Delta Variant
title Reproduction Number of the Omicron Variant Triples That of the Delta Variant
title_full Reproduction Number of the Omicron Variant Triples That of the Delta Variant
title_fullStr Reproduction Number of the Omicron Variant Triples That of the Delta Variant
title_full_unstemmed Reproduction Number of the Omicron Variant Triples That of the Delta Variant
title_short Reproduction Number of the Omicron Variant Triples That of the Delta Variant
title_sort reproduction number of the omicron variant triples that of the delta variant
topic Communication
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9027795/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35458551
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/v14040821
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