Risk Factors and Prognosis of Early Recurrence in Stage I–II Endometrial Cancer: A Large-Scale, Multi-Center, and Retrospective Study

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the present study was to determine overall survival (OS) and risk factors associated with early recurrence in patients with FIGO I–II stage endometrial carcinoma (EC). METHODS: Clinical features were retrospectively extracted from the database of China Endometrial Cancer Consortium from January 2000 to December 2019. A total of 2,974 patients with Federation International of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) I–II stage endometrial cancer were included. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to assess OS and disease-specific survival. Cox proportional hazard model and Fine-Gray model were used to determine the factors related to OS. Binary logistic regression model was used to determine independent predictors of early relapse patients. RESULTS: Of these 2,974 ECs, 189 patients were confirmed to have relapse. The 5-year OS was significantly different between the recurrence and non-recurrence patients (p < 0.001). Three quarters of the relapse patients were reported in 36 months. The 5-year OS for early recurrence patients was shorter than late recurrence [relapse beyond 36 months, p < 0.001]. The grade 3 [odds ratio (OR) = 1.55, 95%CI 1.17–2.05, p = 0.002], lymphatic vascular infiltration (LVSI; OR = 3.36; 95%CI 1.50–7.54, p = 0.003), and myometrial infiltration (OR = 2.07, 95%CI 1.17—3.65, p = 0.012) were independent risk factors of early relapse. The protective factor of that is progesterone receptor (PR)-positive (OR = 0.50, 95%CI 0.27–0.92, p = 0.02). Bilateral ovariectomy could reduce recurrence risk rate (OR = 0.26, 95%CI 0.14–0.51, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The OS of early relapse EC is worse. Grade 3, LVSI, and myometrial infiltration are independent risk factors for early relapse EC. In addition, the protective factor is PR-positive for those people and bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy could reduce the risk of recurrence.