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Generic approach for mathematical model of multi-strain pandemics

Multi-strain pandemics have emerged as a major concern. We introduce a new model for assessing the connection between multi-strain pandemics and mortality rate, basic reproduction number, and maximum infected individuals. The proposed model provides a general mathematical approach for representing m...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Lazebnik, Teddy, Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky, Svetlana
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9049317/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35482761
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260683
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author Lazebnik, Teddy
Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky, Svetlana
author_facet Lazebnik, Teddy
Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky, Svetlana
author_sort Lazebnik, Teddy
collection PubMed
description Multi-strain pandemics have emerged as a major concern. We introduce a new model for assessing the connection between multi-strain pandemics and mortality rate, basic reproduction number, and maximum infected individuals. The proposed model provides a general mathematical approach for representing multi-strain pandemics, generalizing for an arbitrary number of strains. We show that the proposed model fits well with epidemiological historical world health data over a long time period. From a theoretical point of view, we show that the increasing number of strains increases logarithmically the maximum number of infected individuals and the mean mortality rate. Moreover, the mean basic reproduction number is statistically identical to the single, most aggressive pandemic strain for multi-strain pandemics.
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spelling pubmed-90493172022-04-29 Generic approach for mathematical model of multi-strain pandemics Lazebnik, Teddy Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky, Svetlana PLoS One Research Article Multi-strain pandemics have emerged as a major concern. We introduce a new model for assessing the connection between multi-strain pandemics and mortality rate, basic reproduction number, and maximum infected individuals. The proposed model provides a general mathematical approach for representing multi-strain pandemics, generalizing for an arbitrary number of strains. We show that the proposed model fits well with epidemiological historical world health data over a long time period. From a theoretical point of view, we show that the increasing number of strains increases logarithmically the maximum number of infected individuals and the mean mortality rate. Moreover, the mean basic reproduction number is statistically identical to the single, most aggressive pandemic strain for multi-strain pandemics. Public Library of Science 2022-04-28 /pmc/articles/PMC9049317/ /pubmed/35482761 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260683 Text en © 2022 Lazebnik, Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Lazebnik, Teddy
Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky, Svetlana
Generic approach for mathematical model of multi-strain pandemics
title Generic approach for mathematical model of multi-strain pandemics
title_full Generic approach for mathematical model of multi-strain pandemics
title_fullStr Generic approach for mathematical model of multi-strain pandemics
title_full_unstemmed Generic approach for mathematical model of multi-strain pandemics
title_short Generic approach for mathematical model of multi-strain pandemics
title_sort generic approach for mathematical model of multi-strain pandemics
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9049317/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35482761
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260683
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