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A systematic analysis of worldwide disasters, epidemics and pandemics associated mortality of 210 countries for 15 years (2001–2015)

In recent years, the unprecedented death tolls resulting from epidemics and natural disasters made everyone interested, from the general public to country heads, to know about the mortality rates. The coronavirus issue is the most recent example all over the media, and everyone is talking about coro...

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Autores principales: Ahmad, Junaid, Ahmad, Mokbul Morshed, Su, Zhaohui, Rana, Irfan Ahmad, Rehman, Asif, Sadia, Haleema
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9067020/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35528261
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103001
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author Ahmad, Junaid
Ahmad, Mokbul Morshed
Su, Zhaohui
Rana, Irfan Ahmad
Rehman, Asif
Sadia, Haleema
author_facet Ahmad, Junaid
Ahmad, Mokbul Morshed
Su, Zhaohui
Rana, Irfan Ahmad
Rehman, Asif
Sadia, Haleema
author_sort Ahmad, Junaid
collection PubMed
description In recent years, the unprecedented death tolls resulting from epidemics and natural disasters made everyone interested, from the general public to country heads, to know about the mortality rates. The coronavirus issue is the most recent example all over the media, and everyone is talking about corona-induced mortality. The study aimed to estimate the disaster-induced mortality rates at the global level for two hundred and ten countries for fifteen years (2001–2015). Using a retrospective study design, we extracted datasets from two data sources, EM-DAT and UNFPA, in October 2019. The cut-off time for the data download was midnight Central European Time, October 17, 2019. The most noticeable finding in this study is that, against the common prevailing notion, both developed and developing countries equally carry the brunt of disaster-induced mortality. This study proposes empirical confirmation of the direction and magnitude of any year-over-year correlation of disaster and mortality rates. Furthermore, the analysis of the trend in mortality rate over the past fifteen years concludes it is not linear. However, there are huge variations across the years and the countries. The study is of paramount importance to initiate a debate amongst the concerned policymakers and stakeholders to regularly monitor the disaster-induced mortality rates. So that effective interventions can be devised to decrease the mortality rates.
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spelling pubmed-90670202022-05-04 A systematic analysis of worldwide disasters, epidemics and pandemics associated mortality of 210 countries for 15 years (2001–2015) Ahmad, Junaid Ahmad, Mokbul Morshed Su, Zhaohui Rana, Irfan Ahmad Rehman, Asif Sadia, Haleema Int J Disaster Risk Reduct Article In recent years, the unprecedented death tolls resulting from epidemics and natural disasters made everyone interested, from the general public to country heads, to know about the mortality rates. The coronavirus issue is the most recent example all over the media, and everyone is talking about corona-induced mortality. The study aimed to estimate the disaster-induced mortality rates at the global level for two hundred and ten countries for fifteen years (2001–2015). Using a retrospective study design, we extracted datasets from two data sources, EM-DAT and UNFPA, in October 2019. The cut-off time for the data download was midnight Central European Time, October 17, 2019. The most noticeable finding in this study is that, against the common prevailing notion, both developed and developing countries equally carry the brunt of disaster-induced mortality. This study proposes empirical confirmation of the direction and magnitude of any year-over-year correlation of disaster and mortality rates. Furthermore, the analysis of the trend in mortality rate over the past fifteen years concludes it is not linear. However, there are huge variations across the years and the countries. The study is of paramount importance to initiate a debate amongst the concerned policymakers and stakeholders to regularly monitor the disaster-induced mortality rates. So that effective interventions can be devised to decrease the mortality rates. Elsevier Ltd. 2022-06-15 2022-05-04 /pmc/articles/PMC9067020/ /pubmed/35528261 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103001 Text en © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Ahmad, Junaid
Ahmad, Mokbul Morshed
Su, Zhaohui
Rana, Irfan Ahmad
Rehman, Asif
Sadia, Haleema
A systematic analysis of worldwide disasters, epidemics and pandemics associated mortality of 210 countries for 15 years (2001–2015)
title A systematic analysis of worldwide disasters, epidemics and pandemics associated mortality of 210 countries for 15 years (2001–2015)
title_full A systematic analysis of worldwide disasters, epidemics and pandemics associated mortality of 210 countries for 15 years (2001–2015)
title_fullStr A systematic analysis of worldwide disasters, epidemics and pandemics associated mortality of 210 countries for 15 years (2001–2015)
title_full_unstemmed A systematic analysis of worldwide disasters, epidemics and pandemics associated mortality of 210 countries for 15 years (2001–2015)
title_short A systematic analysis of worldwide disasters, epidemics and pandemics associated mortality of 210 countries for 15 years (2001–2015)
title_sort systematic analysis of worldwide disasters, epidemics and pandemics associated mortality of 210 countries for 15 years (2001–2015)
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9067020/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35528261
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103001
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