Inflammatory Markers as Early Predictors of Disease Severity in COVID-19 Patients Admitted to Intensive Care Units: A Retrospective Observational Analysis

BACKGROUND: In pandemic situations, it is essential that the limited resources are used judiciously to achieve most benefits. Prediction of the disease severity at the earliest will help in better allocation, thus, positively affecting prognosis and treatment. AIM AND OBJECTIVE: To investigate patient characteristics and specific biomarkers as possible early predictors of disease severity of SARS-COV-2 infection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective single-centric observational study conducted at 70-bedded intensive care unit of tertiary care hospital at Haryana, India. 100 consecutive RT-PCR positive coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) adult patients. Demographics, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (Apache-II) score, and Inflammatory markers were compared with respect to oxygenation defect (PaO(2)/FiO(2) ratio: <300 or ≥300 mm Hg), need of invasive ventilation, ICU length of stay and 28-day mortality. FINDINGS: Mean age was significantly more in lower PF ratio group (58.01 ± 15.33 vs 50.97 ± 13.78, p = 0.023) whereas sex ratio was comparable among patients in two groups. Significantly, higher APACHE-II score (p ≤0.001) and presence of hypertension (43.54% vs 23.68%; p = 0·045) in low PF ratio group along with higher C-reactive protein (171.78 ± 124.45 vs 101.52 ± 88.70), IL-6 (173.51 vs 53.18) and ferritin (1677.60 ± 2271.13 vs 643.54 ± 718.68) levels. Procalcitonin, lactate dehydrogenase, and creatine phosphokinase (CPK) levels were not significant. INTERPRETATION: Age and APACHE II score and among laboratory parameters CRP, ferritin, and IL-6 levels were significantly higher in low PF ratio group, patients requiring invasive ventilation and in mortality group. Use of this triad (CRP, ferritin, and IL-6 levels) at admission may predict the disease severity early in the course. Addition of APACHE-II may further improve the accuracy of the score. HOW TO CITE THIS ARTICLE: Gupta D, Jain A, Chauhan M, Dewan S. Inflammatory Markers as Early Predictors of Disease Severity in COVID-19 Patients Admitted to Intensive Care Units: A Retrospective Observational Analysis. Indian J Crit Care Med 2022;26(4):482–486.