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Global Sensitivity Analysis of Background Life Cycle Inventories

[Image: see text] In recent years many Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) studies have been conducted to quantify the environmental performance of products and services. Some of these studies propagated numerical uncertainties in underlying data to LCA results, and several applied Global Sensitivity Analys...

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Autores principales: Kim, Aleksandra, Mutel, Christopher L., Froemelt, Andreas, Hellweg, Stefanie
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: American Chemical Society 2022
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9069693/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35413184
http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.1c07438
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author Kim, Aleksandra
Mutel, Christopher L.
Froemelt, Andreas
Hellweg, Stefanie
author_facet Kim, Aleksandra
Mutel, Christopher L.
Froemelt, Andreas
Hellweg, Stefanie
author_sort Kim, Aleksandra
collection PubMed
description [Image: see text] In recent years many Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) studies have been conducted to quantify the environmental performance of products and services. Some of these studies propagated numerical uncertainties in underlying data to LCA results, and several applied Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) to some parts of the LCA model to determine its main uncertainty drivers. However, only a few studies have tackled the GSA of complete LCA models due to the high computational cost of such analysis and the lack of appropriate methods for very high-dimensional models. This study proposes a new GSA protocol suitable for large LCA problems that, unlike existing approaches, does not make assumptions on model linearity and complexity and includes extensive validation of GSA results. We illustrate the benefits of our protocol by comparing it with an existing method in terms of filtering of noninfluential and ranking of influential uncertainty drivers and include an application example of Swiss household food consumption. We note that our protocol obtains more accurate GSA results, which leads to better understanding of LCA models, and less data collection efforts to achieve more robust estimation of environmental impacts. Implementations supporting this work are available as free and open source Python packages.
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spelling pubmed-90696932022-05-06 Global Sensitivity Analysis of Background Life Cycle Inventories Kim, Aleksandra Mutel, Christopher L. Froemelt, Andreas Hellweg, Stefanie Environ Sci Technol [Image: see text] In recent years many Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) studies have been conducted to quantify the environmental performance of products and services. Some of these studies propagated numerical uncertainties in underlying data to LCA results, and several applied Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) to some parts of the LCA model to determine its main uncertainty drivers. However, only a few studies have tackled the GSA of complete LCA models due to the high computational cost of such analysis and the lack of appropriate methods for very high-dimensional models. This study proposes a new GSA protocol suitable for large LCA problems that, unlike existing approaches, does not make assumptions on model linearity and complexity and includes extensive validation of GSA results. We illustrate the benefits of our protocol by comparing it with an existing method in terms of filtering of noninfluential and ranking of influential uncertainty drivers and include an application example of Swiss household food consumption. We note that our protocol obtains more accurate GSA results, which leads to better understanding of LCA models, and less data collection efforts to achieve more robust estimation of environmental impacts. Implementations supporting this work are available as free and open source Python packages. American Chemical Society 2022-04-12 2022-05-03 /pmc/articles/PMC9069693/ /pubmed/35413184 http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.1c07438 Text en © 2022 The Authors. Published by American Chemical Society https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/Permits non-commercial access and re-use, provided that author attribution and integrity are maintained; but does not permit creation of adaptations or other derivative works (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
spellingShingle Kim, Aleksandra
Mutel, Christopher L.
Froemelt, Andreas
Hellweg, Stefanie
Global Sensitivity Analysis of Background Life Cycle Inventories
title Global Sensitivity Analysis of Background Life Cycle Inventories
title_full Global Sensitivity Analysis of Background Life Cycle Inventories
title_fullStr Global Sensitivity Analysis of Background Life Cycle Inventories
title_full_unstemmed Global Sensitivity Analysis of Background Life Cycle Inventories
title_short Global Sensitivity Analysis of Background Life Cycle Inventories
title_sort global sensitivity analysis of background life cycle inventories
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9069693/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35413184
http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.1c07438
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