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Establishment of Economic Forecasting Model of High-tech Industry Based on Genetic Optimization Neural Network

Scientific and accurate prediction of high-tech industries is of great practical significance for government departments to grasp the future economic operation and formulate development strategies. In this paper, aiming at some shortcomings of neural network (NN) applied in economic forecasting, GAN...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Gao, Kai, Liu, Tingting, Hu, Bin, Hao, Miao, Zhang, Yueran
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Hindawi 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9078764/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35535192
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/2128370
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author Gao, Kai
Liu, Tingting
Hu, Bin
Hao, Miao
Zhang, Yueran
author_facet Gao, Kai
Liu, Tingting
Hu, Bin
Hao, Miao
Zhang, Yueran
author_sort Gao, Kai
collection PubMed
description Scientific and accurate prediction of high-tech industries is of great practical significance for government departments to grasp the future economic operation and formulate development strategies. In this paper, aiming at some shortcomings of neural network (NN) applied in economic forecasting, GANN was introduced to construct the economic forecasting model of high-tech industry. Genetic algorithm (GA) has simple calculation and strong robustness and can generally ensure convergence to the global optimum, which effectively overcomes the shortcomings of NN using gradient descent method. In order to verify the feasibility of the economic forecasting model in this paper, the comparative experiments of different models are carried out in this paper. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm has faster convergence speed and greater generalization ability, and the average error rate is reduced to about 1%. The prediction accuracy of this model reached 95.14%, which was about 11.93% higher than the previous model. Applying the economic forecasting model in this paper to the economic forecasting of high-tech industries can provide the means and reference value for the government to formulate regional future economic development plans, forecast, and control the economic growth and development direction.
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spelling pubmed-90787642022-05-08 Establishment of Economic Forecasting Model of High-tech Industry Based on Genetic Optimization Neural Network Gao, Kai Liu, Tingting Hu, Bin Hao, Miao Zhang, Yueran Comput Intell Neurosci Research Article Scientific and accurate prediction of high-tech industries is of great practical significance for government departments to grasp the future economic operation and formulate development strategies. In this paper, aiming at some shortcomings of neural network (NN) applied in economic forecasting, GANN was introduced to construct the economic forecasting model of high-tech industry. Genetic algorithm (GA) has simple calculation and strong robustness and can generally ensure convergence to the global optimum, which effectively overcomes the shortcomings of NN using gradient descent method. In order to verify the feasibility of the economic forecasting model in this paper, the comparative experiments of different models are carried out in this paper. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm has faster convergence speed and greater generalization ability, and the average error rate is reduced to about 1%. The prediction accuracy of this model reached 95.14%, which was about 11.93% higher than the previous model. Applying the economic forecasting model in this paper to the economic forecasting of high-tech industries can provide the means and reference value for the government to formulate regional future economic development plans, forecast, and control the economic growth and development direction. Hindawi 2022-04-30 /pmc/articles/PMC9078764/ /pubmed/35535192 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/2128370 Text en Copyright © 2022 Kai Gao et al. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Gao, Kai
Liu, Tingting
Hu, Bin
Hao, Miao
Zhang, Yueran
Establishment of Economic Forecasting Model of High-tech Industry Based on Genetic Optimization Neural Network
title Establishment of Economic Forecasting Model of High-tech Industry Based on Genetic Optimization Neural Network
title_full Establishment of Economic Forecasting Model of High-tech Industry Based on Genetic Optimization Neural Network
title_fullStr Establishment of Economic Forecasting Model of High-tech Industry Based on Genetic Optimization Neural Network
title_full_unstemmed Establishment of Economic Forecasting Model of High-tech Industry Based on Genetic Optimization Neural Network
title_short Establishment of Economic Forecasting Model of High-tech Industry Based on Genetic Optimization Neural Network
title_sort establishment of economic forecasting model of high-tech industry based on genetic optimization neural network
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9078764/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35535192
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/2128370
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