AnthroShift in a warming world

Thirty years after the UN Conference on Environment and Development created the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, efforts to respond to the issue continue to be insufficient to meet the challenges of the climate crisis. This perspective builds on the experience of society’s responses to the COVID-19 pandemic to understand what is needed to get to meaningful climate action. It applies the framework of the AnthroShift to assess how transformational social change is likely to emerge. The paper concludes by determining that the most plausible pathway to an effective social response to the climate crisis would be driven by civil society. However, the level of mass mobilization needed is only possible if society is experiencing large-scale and sustained levels of risk that have tangible long-term consequences in terms of social cost to people and property.