Estimating ranibizumab injection numbers and visual acuity at 12 months based on 2-month data on branch retinal vein occlusion treatment

Anti-vascular endothelial growth factor treatment for macular edema secondary to branch retinal vein occlusion generally provides good visual acuity (VA) improvement but may require repeated injections for years. To reduce the number of patients who suffer from avoidable VA loss caused by treatment drop-out, providing prospects of the correlation between expected vision improvement and required number of injections at the early stages of treatment may be helpful. In this post hoc analysis of the phase IV, randomized, open-label ZIPANGU study, we investigated the correlation between the data from Month 2 and Month 12 in terms of VA and required ranibizumab injection numbers. Fifty-nine patients were evaluated (ranibizumab monotherapy, 29; combination therapy, 30). In the monotherapy group, patients who received 1 and 3 injections by Month 2 received a mean total of 2.8 and 8.3 injections during the year, respectively. Data from the combination group were similar. The correlation coefficients for VA scores at Months 2 and 12 were 0.60 and 0.51 for the monotherapy and combination groups, respectively (both p < 0.01). Based on VA and injection numbers at Month 2 of treatment, physicians could provide rough prospects on patients’ expected final VA and required number of injections.