Pooled Data Analysis of the Long-Term Treatment Effects of Tolvaptan in ADPKD

INTRODUCTION: In 1- and 3-year randomized trials, tolvaptan slowed kidney function decline in subjects with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) at risk of rapid progression. The 3-year trial also evaluated effects on total kidney volume (TKV); slowing of TKV growth was demonstrated. Subjects were followed in open-label extension trials. To characterize longer-term effects of treatment, an analysis was conducted comparing tolvaptan-treated subjects with subjects from standard of care (SOC) ADPKD studies without tolvaptan. METHODS: This was a pooled, longitudinal analysis of data from 8 tolvaptan clinical trials and 5 studies without tolvaptan (natural history or SOC) in ADPKD. Data from subjects who participated in multiple studies were linked for longer follow-up. Outcomes were rates of change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and TKV over 5.5 years. To control for heterogeneity in disease characteristics between tolvaptan and SOC treatment groups, analysis populations matched for baseline demographic and disease characteristics were constructed. RESULTS: Matched analysis (n = 1186 in each treatment group) indicated that tolvaptan slowed annualized eGFR decline by 1.01 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) (P < 0.001) versus SOC over 5.5 years. An analysis conducted on the full, unmatched data set (tolvaptan: n = 2928; SOC: n = 4189) confirmed significant reduction in annual eGFR decline. Among subjects with TKV data, TKV was significantly reduced at years 1, 3, and 5 for tolvaptan versus SOC in both matched and full data sets. CONCLUSION: Comparison of a pooled tolvaptan cohort to a pooled control cohort with ADPKD supports longer-term treatment effects of tolvaptan.