Blood volume expansion, normovolemia, and clinical outcomes in chronic human heart failure: more is better

Expansion in blood volume (BV) is a well-recognized response to arterial underfilling secondary to impaired cardiac output in heart failure (HF). However, the effectiveness of this response in terms of outcomes remains inadequately understood. Prospective analysis was undertaken in 110 patients with HF hospitalized and treated for fluid overload. BVs were measured in a compensated state at the hospital discharge using the indicator-dilution methodology. Data were analyzed for composite 1-year HF-related mortality/first rehospitalization. Despite uniform standard of care, marked heterogeneity in BVs was identified across the cohort. The cohort was stratified by BV expansion greater than or equal to +25% above normal (51% of cohort), mild-moderate expansion (22%), and normal BV (27%). Kaplan–Meier (K-M) survival estimates and regression analyses revealed BV expansion (greater than or equal to +25%) to be associated with better event-free survival relative to normal BV (P = 0.038). Increased red blood cell mass (RBCm; RBC polycythemia) was identified in 43% of the overall cohort and 70% in BV expansion greater than or equal to +25%. K-M analysis demonstrated polycythemia to be associated with better outcomes compared with normal RBCm (P < 0.002). Persistent BV expansion to include RBC polycythemia is common and, importantly, associated with better clinical outcomes compared with normal total BV or normal RBCm in patients with chronic HF. However, compensatory BV expansion is not a uniform physiological response to the insult of HF with marked variability in BV profiles despite uniform standard of care diuretic therapy. Therefore, recognizing the variability in volume regulation pathophysiology has implications not only for impact on clinical outcomes and risk stratification but also potential for informing individualized volume management strategies. NEW & NOTEWORTHY The novel findings of this study demonstrate that intravascular volume profiles among the patients with chronic heart failure (HF) vary substantially even with similar clinical compensation. Importantly, a profile of blood volume (BV) expansion (compared with a normal BV) is associated with lower HF mortality/morbidity. Furthermore, RBC polycythemia is common and independently associated with improved outcomes. These observations support BV expansion with RBC polycythemia as a compensatory mechanism in chronic HF.