Machine-Learning-Based Clinical Biomarker Using Cell-Free DNA for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC)

SIMPLE SUMMARY: Circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) has attracted a great deal of scientific interest as a predictive biomarker for the diagnosis and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). HCC result in high mortality due to the absence of blood biomarkers for early diagnosis and prognosis. We established cfD(HCC) as a new scoring system by applying a machine learning algorithm that integrates the expression profiles of cfDNA. Based on this, it was possible to accurately predict the clinico-pathological characteristics of patients with HCC as well as improve their survival. ABSTRACT: (1) Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related death worldwide. Although various serum enzymes have been utilized for the diagnosis and prognosis of HCC, the currently available biomarkers lack the sensitivity needed to detect HCC at early stages and accurately predict treatment responses. (2) Methods: We utilized our highly sensitive cell-free DNA (cfDNA) detection system, in combination with a machine learning algorithm, to provide a platform for improved diagnosis and prognosis of HCC. (3) Results: cfDNA, specifically alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) expression in captured cfDNA, demonstrated the highest accuracy for diagnosing malignancies among the serum/plasma biomarkers used in this study, including AFP, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, albumin, alkaline phosphatase, and bilirubin. The diagnostic/prognostic capability of cfDNA was further improved by establishing a cfDNA score (cfD(HCC)), which integrated the total plasma cfDNA levels and cfAFP-DNA expression into a single score using machine learning algorithms. (4) Conclusion: The cfD(HCC) score demonstrated significantly improved accuracy in determining the pathological features of HCC and predicting patients’ survival outcomes compared to the other biomarkers. The results presented herein reveal that our cfDNA capture/analysis platform is a promising approach to effectively utilize cfDNA as a biomarker for the diagnosis and prognosis of HCC.