Do Fans Impact Sports Outcomes? A COVID-19 Natural Experiment(∗)

This paper studies the effect of fan attendance on home field advantage in top European soccer leagues. We exploit exogenous variation in the level of fan attendance driven by COVID-19 mitigation policies and find that the home field advantage, as measured by home minus away (expected) goals, is red...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Cross, Jeffrey, Uhrig, Richard
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: SAGE Publications 2023
Materias:
Articles
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9121146/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/15270025221100204
Descripción
Sumario:This paper studies the effect of fan attendance on home field advantage in top European soccer leagues. We exploit exogenous variation in the level of fan attendance driven by COVID-19 mitigation policies and find that the home field advantage, as measured by home minus away (expected) goals, is reduced by more than 50% across the English Premier League, German Bundesliga, Italian Serie A, and Spanish La Liga. This leads to a decrease in probability for a home win, indicating that these goals are pivotal with respect to match outcomes.

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