Prognostic value of radiological index and clinical data in patients with COVID-19 infection

During the Coronavirus-19 pandemic, chest X-ray scoring system have been validated by Al-Smadi and Toussie in this group of patients and even RALE score, previously designed for ARDS, have been used to estimate correlation with mortality. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of As-Smadi, Tuossie and RALE scores in predicting death in the same population of patients when associated to clinical data. In this retrospective clinical study, data of patients with COVID-19, admitted to our hospital from 1st October 2020 to 31st December 2020 were collected. CXR images of each patient were analyzed with the three different scores above mentioned. 144 patients (male 96 aged 68.5 years) were included in the study. 93 patients reported a least 1 comorbidity and 36 died. The association with increasing age, presence of comorbidities, and lower hemoglobin was significantly associated with risk of death for all the regression models. When considering the radiological score, a significant effect was found for the Al Smadi and RALE scores, while no evidence of association was found for the Toussie score. The fraction of new information is 16.7% for the Al Smadi score, 12.9% for the RALE and 5.1% for the Toussie score. The improvement in the prognostic usefulness with respect to the base model is particularly interesting for the Al Smadi score. The highest c-index was also obtained by the model with the Al Smadi score.