The log odds of positive neck lymph nodes is a superior lymph node predictor for overall survival in head and neck cancer: a population-based analysis in Germany

BACKGROUND: This population-based study investigated the influence of different lymph node (LN) classifications on overall survival (OS) in head and neck cancer (HNC). METHODS: 401 patients (median age: 57 years; 47% stage IV) of the Thuringian cancer registries with diagnosis of a primary HNC receiving a neck dissection (ND) in 2009 and 2010 were included. OS was assessed in relation to total number of LN removed, number of positive LN, LN ratio, and log odds of positive LN (LODDS). RESULTS: Mean number of LODDS was 0–0.96 ± 0.57. When limiting the multivariate analysis to TNM stage, only the UICC staging (stage IV: HR 9.218; 95% CI 2.721–31.224; p < 0.001) and LODDS > – 1.0 (HR 2.120; 95% CI 1.129–3.982; p = 0.019) were independently associated with lower OS. CONCLUSION: LODDS was an independent and superior predictor for OS in HNC in a population-based setting with representative real-life data. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00405-021-07176-8.