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Dynamic Linkage between Aging, Mechanizations and Carbon Emissions from Agricultural Production

The trend of aging is intensifying and has become a prominent population phenomenon worldwide. The aging population has an important impact on carbon emissions, but at present, there is little research on its ecological consequences, especially the relationship with agricultural carbon emissions. Fo...

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Autores principales: Guo, Lili, Song, Yuting, Zhao, Shuang, Tang, Mengqian, Guo, Yangli, Su, Mengying, Li, Houjian
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9140671/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35627726
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19106191
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author Guo, Lili
Song, Yuting
Zhao, Shuang
Tang, Mengqian
Guo, Yangli
Su, Mengying
Li, Houjian
author_facet Guo, Lili
Song, Yuting
Zhao, Shuang
Tang, Mengqian
Guo, Yangli
Su, Mengying
Li, Houjian
author_sort Guo, Lili
collection PubMed
description The trend of aging is intensifying and has become a prominent population phenomenon worldwide. The aging population has an important impact on carbon emissions, but at present, there is little research on its ecological consequences, especially the relationship with agricultural carbon emissions. For a long time, China has been dominated by a scattered small-scale peasant economy. Currently, the aging population also means that the agricultural labor force will gradually become scarce, and the agricultural production will face reform. This article is intended to find the long-term impact of aging and mechanization on agricultural carbon emissions and construct a more comprehensive policy framework for sustainable development, hoping to contribute to environmental and ecological protection. The research sample in this article is from 2000 to 2019, covering 30 provinces (cities, autonomous regions) in China. We adopted methods and models including Fully Modified General Least Squares (FMOLS), Dynamic General Least Squares (DOLS), Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) model, etc., and used the Granger causality test to determine the causal relationship between variables. Results show that aging is the Granger cause of agricultural carbon emissions and agricultural mechanization. Agricultural carbon emissions and agricultural mechanization have a bidirectional causal relationship. In the short term, agricultural mechanization and aging both have made a great contribution to carbon dioxide emissions from agricultural production. However, in the long term, the impact of aging on agricultural mechanization is significantly negative. Therefore, it is generally beneficial to improve the environmental problems of agricultural production. Our research focuses on the latest background of population trends and global climate issues and finally provides suggestions and a theoretical basis for the formulation of government agricultural policies according to the research conclusions.
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spelling pubmed-91406712022-05-28 Dynamic Linkage between Aging, Mechanizations and Carbon Emissions from Agricultural Production Guo, Lili Song, Yuting Zhao, Shuang Tang, Mengqian Guo, Yangli Su, Mengying Li, Houjian Int J Environ Res Public Health Article The trend of aging is intensifying and has become a prominent population phenomenon worldwide. The aging population has an important impact on carbon emissions, but at present, there is little research on its ecological consequences, especially the relationship with agricultural carbon emissions. For a long time, China has been dominated by a scattered small-scale peasant economy. Currently, the aging population also means that the agricultural labor force will gradually become scarce, and the agricultural production will face reform. This article is intended to find the long-term impact of aging and mechanization on agricultural carbon emissions and construct a more comprehensive policy framework for sustainable development, hoping to contribute to environmental and ecological protection. The research sample in this article is from 2000 to 2019, covering 30 provinces (cities, autonomous regions) in China. We adopted methods and models including Fully Modified General Least Squares (FMOLS), Dynamic General Least Squares (DOLS), Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) model, etc., and used the Granger causality test to determine the causal relationship between variables. Results show that aging is the Granger cause of agricultural carbon emissions and agricultural mechanization. Agricultural carbon emissions and agricultural mechanization have a bidirectional causal relationship. In the short term, agricultural mechanization and aging both have made a great contribution to carbon dioxide emissions from agricultural production. However, in the long term, the impact of aging on agricultural mechanization is significantly negative. Therefore, it is generally beneficial to improve the environmental problems of agricultural production. Our research focuses on the latest background of population trends and global climate issues and finally provides suggestions and a theoretical basis for the formulation of government agricultural policies according to the research conclusions. MDPI 2022-05-19 /pmc/articles/PMC9140671/ /pubmed/35627726 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19106191 Text en © 2022 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Guo, Lili
Song, Yuting
Zhao, Shuang
Tang, Mengqian
Guo, Yangli
Su, Mengying
Li, Houjian
Dynamic Linkage between Aging, Mechanizations and Carbon Emissions from Agricultural Production
title Dynamic Linkage between Aging, Mechanizations and Carbon Emissions from Agricultural Production
title_full Dynamic Linkage between Aging, Mechanizations and Carbon Emissions from Agricultural Production
title_fullStr Dynamic Linkage between Aging, Mechanizations and Carbon Emissions from Agricultural Production
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic Linkage between Aging, Mechanizations and Carbon Emissions from Agricultural Production
title_short Dynamic Linkage between Aging, Mechanizations and Carbon Emissions from Agricultural Production
title_sort dynamic linkage between aging, mechanizations and carbon emissions from agricultural production
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9140671/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35627726
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19106191
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