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Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks
COVID-19 is challenging many societal institutions, including our criminal justice systems. Some have proposed or enacted (e.g., the State of New Jersey) reductions in the jail and/or prison populations. We present a mathematical model to explore the epidemiologic impact of such interventions in jai...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9148636/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35473918 http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/EDE.0000000000001476 |
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author | Lofgren, Eric T. Lum, Kristian Horowitz, Aaron Mabubuonwu, Brooke Meyers, Kellen Fefferman, Nina H. |
author_facet | Lofgren, Eric T. Lum, Kristian Horowitz, Aaron Mabubuonwu, Brooke Meyers, Kellen Fefferman, Nina H. |
author_sort | Lofgren, Eric T. |
collection | PubMed |
description | COVID-19 is challenging many societal institutions, including our criminal justice systems. Some have proposed or enacted (e.g., the State of New Jersey) reductions in the jail and/or prison populations. We present a mathematical model to explore the epidemiologic impact of such interventions in jails and contrast them with the consequences of maintaining unaltered practices. We consider infection risk and likely in-custody deaths, and estimate how within-jail dynamics lead to spill-over risks, not only affecting incarcerated people but increasing exposure, infection, and death rates for both corrections officers and the broader community beyond the justice system. We show that, given a typical jail-community dynamic, operating in a business-as-usual way results in substantial, rapid, and ongoing loss of life. Our results are consistent with the hypothesis that large-scale reductions in arrest and speeding of releases are likely to save the lives of incarcerated people, jail staff, and the wider community. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9148636 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Lippincott Williams & Wilkins |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-91486362022-05-31 Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks Lofgren, Eric T. Lum, Kristian Horowitz, Aaron Mabubuonwu, Brooke Meyers, Kellen Fefferman, Nina H. Epidemiology Covid-19 COVID-19 is challenging many societal institutions, including our criminal justice systems. Some have proposed or enacted (e.g., the State of New Jersey) reductions in the jail and/or prison populations. We present a mathematical model to explore the epidemiologic impact of such interventions in jails and contrast them with the consequences of maintaining unaltered practices. We consider infection risk and likely in-custody deaths, and estimate how within-jail dynamics lead to spill-over risks, not only affecting incarcerated people but increasing exposure, infection, and death rates for both corrections officers and the broader community beyond the justice system. We show that, given a typical jail-community dynamic, operating in a business-as-usual way results in substantial, rapid, and ongoing loss of life. Our results are consistent with the hypothesis that large-scale reductions in arrest and speeding of releases are likely to save the lives of incarcerated people, jail staff, and the wider community. Lippincott Williams & Wilkins 2022-04-27 2022-07 /pmc/articles/PMC9148636/ /pubmed/35473918 http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/EDE.0000000000001476 Text en Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives License 4.0 (CCBY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) , where it is permissible to download and share the work provided it is properly cited. The work cannot be changed in any way or used commercially without permission from the journal. |
spellingShingle | Covid-19 Lofgren, Eric T. Lum, Kristian Horowitz, Aaron Mabubuonwu, Brooke Meyers, Kellen Fefferman, Nina H. Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks |
title | Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks |
title_full | Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks |
title_fullStr | Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks |
title_full_unstemmed | Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks |
title_short | Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks |
title_sort | carceral amplification of covid-19: impacts for community, corrections officer, and incarcerated population risks |
topic | Covid-19 |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9148636/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35473918 http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/EDE.0000000000001476 |
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