Cargando…

Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks

COVID-19 is challenging many societal institutions, including our criminal justice systems. Some have proposed or enacted (e.g., the State of New Jersey) reductions in the jail and/or prison populations. We present a mathematical model to explore the epidemiologic impact of such interventions in jai...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Lofgren, Eric T., Lum, Kristian, Horowitz, Aaron, Mabubuonwu, Brooke, Meyers, Kellen, Fefferman, Nina H.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9148636/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35473918
http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/EDE.0000000000001476
_version_ 1784717074739757056
author Lofgren, Eric T.
Lum, Kristian
Horowitz, Aaron
Mabubuonwu, Brooke
Meyers, Kellen
Fefferman, Nina H.
author_facet Lofgren, Eric T.
Lum, Kristian
Horowitz, Aaron
Mabubuonwu, Brooke
Meyers, Kellen
Fefferman, Nina H.
author_sort Lofgren, Eric T.
collection PubMed
description COVID-19 is challenging many societal institutions, including our criminal justice systems. Some have proposed or enacted (e.g., the State of New Jersey) reductions in the jail and/or prison populations. We present a mathematical model to explore the epidemiologic impact of such interventions in jails and contrast them with the consequences of maintaining unaltered practices. We consider infection risk and likely in-custody deaths, and estimate how within-jail dynamics lead to spill-over risks, not only affecting incarcerated people but increasing exposure, infection, and death rates for both corrections officers and the broader community beyond the justice system. We show that, given a typical jail-community dynamic, operating in a business-as-usual way results in substantial, rapid, and ongoing loss of life. Our results are consistent with the hypothesis that large-scale reductions in arrest and speeding of releases are likely to save the lives of incarcerated people, jail staff, and the wider community.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-9148636
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2022
publisher Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-91486362022-05-31 Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks Lofgren, Eric T. Lum, Kristian Horowitz, Aaron Mabubuonwu, Brooke Meyers, Kellen Fefferman, Nina H. Epidemiology Covid-19 COVID-19 is challenging many societal institutions, including our criminal justice systems. Some have proposed or enacted (e.g., the State of New Jersey) reductions in the jail and/or prison populations. We present a mathematical model to explore the epidemiologic impact of such interventions in jails and contrast them with the consequences of maintaining unaltered practices. We consider infection risk and likely in-custody deaths, and estimate how within-jail dynamics lead to spill-over risks, not only affecting incarcerated people but increasing exposure, infection, and death rates for both corrections officers and the broader community beyond the justice system. We show that, given a typical jail-community dynamic, operating in a business-as-usual way results in substantial, rapid, and ongoing loss of life. Our results are consistent with the hypothesis that large-scale reductions in arrest and speeding of releases are likely to save the lives of incarcerated people, jail staff, and the wider community. Lippincott Williams & Wilkins 2022-04-27 2022-07 /pmc/articles/PMC9148636/ /pubmed/35473918 http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/EDE.0000000000001476 Text en Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives License 4.0 (CCBY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) , where it is permissible to download and share the work provided it is properly cited. The work cannot be changed in any way or used commercially without permission from the journal.
spellingShingle Covid-19
Lofgren, Eric T.
Lum, Kristian
Horowitz, Aaron
Mabubuonwu, Brooke
Meyers, Kellen
Fefferman, Nina H.
Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks
title Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks
title_full Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks
title_fullStr Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks
title_full_unstemmed Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks
title_short Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks
title_sort carceral amplification of covid-19: impacts for community, corrections officer, and incarcerated population risks
topic Covid-19
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9148636/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35473918
http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/EDE.0000000000001476
work_keys_str_mv AT lofgrenerict carceralamplificationofcovid19impactsforcommunitycorrectionsofficerandincarceratedpopulationrisks
AT lumkristian carceralamplificationofcovid19impactsforcommunitycorrectionsofficerandincarceratedpopulationrisks
AT horowitzaaron carceralamplificationofcovid19impactsforcommunitycorrectionsofficerandincarceratedpopulationrisks
AT mabubuonwubrooke carceralamplificationofcovid19impactsforcommunitycorrectionsofficerandincarceratedpopulationrisks
AT meyerskellen carceralamplificationofcovid19impactsforcommunitycorrectionsofficerandincarceratedpopulationrisks
AT feffermanninah carceralamplificationofcovid19impactsforcommunitycorrectionsofficerandincarceratedpopulationrisks