A Retrospective Study Characterizing the Radiographic Progression of Hallux Valgus

Background: Hallux valgus deformity is the lateral deviation of the metatarsophalangeal (MTP) joint and is the most common pathology of the great toe, affecting 2%-4% of the population. It is commonly believed that the condition progresses over time both in the magnitude of deformity and development of arthritic changes. To our knowledge, there are rare studies describing the rate of deformity progression and the development of arthritic changes. Our aim is to quantify the progression of hallux valgus and associated arthritic changes in an adult population using radiographs. Methods: Patients who are 18 years of age and older (mean age: 61.7 years and range: 18.6-94.2) who presented to our institutions between January 1, 2004, and December 1, 2019, were included. Patients were included in the study if they had hallux valgus on weight-bearing radiographs and two such radiographs at least six months apart. Hallux valgus angle (HVA), intermetatarsal angle (IMA), metatarsophalangeal (MTP) arthritis, tarsometatarsal (TMT) osteoarthritis, Hardy-Clapham sesamoid position, and round sign were collected per patient in the initial and final radiographs. Included cases were first studied together in a whole group. Then, cases were separated into three groups based on the time between initial and final radiographs. Results: A total of 52 radiographic records for 43 patients were included. HVA and IMA progress with time; however, progression does not follow a direct relationship with the time elapsed between initial and final radiographs (p = 0.92 and p = 0.35, respectively). The progression of TMT osteoarthritis, sesamoid position, and round sign do not show a dependence on the time elapsed (p = 0.20, p = 0.11, and p = 0.42, respectively). An increase of one sesamoid unit position over baseline is associated with a 0.85-degree increase in IMA. A one-unit progression of sesamoid position at baseline raises the odds of MTP osteoarthritis progression at the follow-up visit by 2.14 (OR = 2.14, p = 0.0007, CI = [1.35, 3.83]). A HVA increase of one degree increases the odds of TMT osteoarthritis progression at follow-up by a factor of 1.17 (OR = 1.17, p = 0.0005, CI = [1.07, 1.34]). Patients with MTP arthritis at the initial visit have 3.77 times higher odds of round sign progression on their follow-up visit (OR = 3.77, p = 0.027, CI = [1.16, 13.13]). Discussion: Hallux valgus progression can be quantified. Upon their first visit, a patient’s hallux valgus parameters can be utilized to demonstrate expected progression. Progression of the deformity and arthritic changes is slow. Nonetheless, the results should be considered by surgeons and patients when developing a treatment plan with patients.