Cancer among kidney transplant recipients >20 years after transplantation: post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorder remains the most common cancer type in the ultra long-term

BACKGROUND: Cancer risk is increased by 2- to 4-fold in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) compared with the general population. Little attention, however, has been given to KTRs with ultra long-term survival >20 years. METHODS: We studied 293 of 1241 KTRs (23.6%), transplanted between 1981 and 1999, who showed kidney allograft survival >20 years. These long-term survivors were analysed for cancer development, cancer type, cancer-associated risk factors and patient and allograft outcomes. RESULTS: By 10, 20 and 30 years post-transplantation, these long-term KTRs showed a cancer rate of 4.4%, 14.6% and 33.2%, and a non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) rate of 10.3%, 33.5% and 76.8%, respectively. By recipients’ ages of 40, 60 and 80 years, KTRs showed a cancer rate of 3.4%, 14.5% 55.2%, and a NMSC rate of 1.7%, 31.6% and 85.2%, respectively. By 30 years post-transplantation, post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) showed the highest incidence of 8.5%, followed by renal cell carcinoma (RCC) with 5.1%. Risk factors associated with the development of cancer were only recipient age (P = 0.016). Smoking history was associated with the risk of lung cancer (P = 0.018). Risk factors related to the development of NMSC included recipient age (P = 0.001) and thiazide diuretics (P = 0.001). Cancer increased the risk of death by 2.4-fold (P = 0.002), and PTLD increased the risk of kidney allograft loss by 6.5-fold (P = 0.001). No differences were observed concerning the development of donor-specific antibodies (P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In long-term KTRs, cancer is a leading cause of death. PTLD remains the most common cancer type followed by RCC. These results emphasize the need for focused long-term cancer surveillance protocols.