Predicting the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Africa: the case of Namibia

SARS-CoV-2 transmission models have been fairly inaccurate in their predictions for Africa. Here, based on an analysis of surveillance data from Namibia, we conclude that it is necessary to include spatial demography, and travel, in SARS-CoV-2 transmission models in order to make more accurate predi...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Okano, Justin T, Valdano, Eugenio, Mitonga, Honore K, Blower, Sally
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Oxford University Press 2022
Materias:
Letter to the Editor
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9156027/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35238942
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/jtm/taac034
Descripción
Sumario:SARS-CoV-2 transmission models have been fairly inaccurate in their predictions for Africa. Here, based on an analysis of surveillance data from Namibia, we conclude that it is necessary to include spatial demography, and travel, in SARS-CoV-2 transmission models in order to make more accurate predictions for COVID-19 epidemics in Africa.

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