Prediction of high-flow nasal cannula outcomes at the early phase using the modified respiratory rate oxygenation index

BACKGROUND: This study was designed to explore the early predictive value of the respiratory rate oxygenation (ROX) index modified by PaO(2) (mROX) in high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) therapy in patients with acute hypoxemia respiratory failure (AHRF). METHOD: Seventy-five patients with AHRF treated with HFNC were retrospectively reviewed. Respiratory parameters at baseline and 2 h after HFNC initiation were analyzed. The predictive value of the ROX (ratio of pulse oximetry/FIO(2) to respiratory rate) and mROX (ratio of arterial oxygen /FIO(2) to respiratory rate) indices with two variations by adding heart rate to each index (ROX-HR and mROX-HR) was evaluated. RESULTS: HFNC therapy failed in 24 patients, who had significantly higher intensive care unit (ICU) mortality and longer ICU stay. Both the ROX and mROX indices at 2 h after HFNC initiation can predict the risk of intubation after HFNC. Two hours after HFNC initiation, the mROX index had a higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for predicting HFNC success than the ROX index. Besides, baseline mROX index of greater than 7.1 showed a specificity of 100% for HFNC success. CONCLUSION: The mROX index may be a suitable predictor of HFNC therapy outcomes at the early phase in patients with AHRF. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12890-022-02017-8.