Preoperative Prediction of Inferior Vena Cava Wall Invasion of Tumor Thrombus in Renal Cell Carcinoma: Radiomics Models Based on Magnetic Resonance Imaging

OBJECTIVE: To develop radiomics models to predict inferior vena cava (IVC) wall invasion by tumor thrombus (TT) in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC). METHODS: Preoperative MR images were retrospectively collected from 91 patients with RCC who underwent radical nephrectomy (RN) and thrombectomy. The images were randomly allocated into a training (n = 64) and validation (n = 27) cohort. The inter-and intra-rater agreements were organized to compare masks delineated by two radiologists. The masks of TT and IVC were manually annotated on axial fat-suppression T2-weighted images (fsT2WI) by one radiologist. The following models were trained to predict the probability of IVC wall invasion: two radiomics models using radiomics features extracted from the two masks (model 1, radiomics model_IVC; model 2, radiomics model_TT), two combined models using radiomics features and radiological features (model 3, combined model_IVC; model 4, combined model_TT), and one radiological model (model 5) using radiological features. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA) were applied to validate the discriminatory effect and clinical benefit of the models. RESULTS: Model 1 to model 5 yielded area under the curves (AUCs) of 0.881, 0.857, 0.883, 0.889, and 0.769, respectively, in the validation cohort. No significant differences were found between these models (p = 0.108-0.951). The dicision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the model 3 had a higher overall net benefit than the model 1, model 2, model 4, and model 5. CONCLUSIONS: The combined model_IVC (model 3) based on axial fsT2WI exhibited excellent predictive performance in predicting IVC wall invasion status.