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Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a COVID-19 model with individual protection awareness
This paper is focused on the design of optimal control strategies for COVID-19 and the model containing susceptible individuals with awareness of protection and susceptible individuals without awareness of protection is established. The goal of this paper is to minimize the number of infected people...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier B.V.
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9216683/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35757186 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2022.127804 |
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author | Yuan, Yiran Li, Ning |
author_facet | Yuan, Yiran Li, Ning |
author_sort | Yuan, Yiran |
collection | PubMed |
description | This paper is focused on the design of optimal control strategies for COVID-19 and the model containing susceptible individuals with awareness of protection and susceptible individuals without awareness of protection is established. The goal of this paper is to minimize the number of infected people and susceptible individuals without protection awareness, and to increase the willingness of susceptible individuals to take protection measures. We conduct a qualitative analysis of this mathematical model. Based on the sensitivity analysis, the optimal control method is proposed, namely personal protective measures, vaccination and awareness raising programs. It is found that combining the three methods can minimize the number of infected people. Moreover, the introduction of awareness raising program in society will greatly reduce the existence of susceptible individuals without protection awareness. To evaluate the most cost-effective strategy we performed a cost-effectiveness analysis using the ICER method. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9216683 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Elsevier B.V. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-92166832022-06-22 Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a COVID-19 model with individual protection awareness Yuan, Yiran Li, Ning Physica A Article This paper is focused on the design of optimal control strategies for COVID-19 and the model containing susceptible individuals with awareness of protection and susceptible individuals without awareness of protection is established. The goal of this paper is to minimize the number of infected people and susceptible individuals without protection awareness, and to increase the willingness of susceptible individuals to take protection measures. We conduct a qualitative analysis of this mathematical model. Based on the sensitivity analysis, the optimal control method is proposed, namely personal protective measures, vaccination and awareness raising programs. It is found that combining the three methods can minimize the number of infected people. Moreover, the introduction of awareness raising program in society will greatly reduce the existence of susceptible individuals without protection awareness. To evaluate the most cost-effective strategy we performed a cost-effectiveness analysis using the ICER method. Elsevier B.V. 2022-10-01 2022-06-22 /pmc/articles/PMC9216683/ /pubmed/35757186 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2022.127804 Text en © 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Yuan, Yiran Li, Ning Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a COVID-19 model with individual protection awareness |
title | Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a COVID-19 model with individual protection awareness |
title_full | Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a COVID-19 model with individual protection awareness |
title_fullStr | Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a COVID-19 model with individual protection awareness |
title_full_unstemmed | Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a COVID-19 model with individual protection awareness |
title_short | Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a COVID-19 model with individual protection awareness |
title_sort | optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a covid-19 model with individual protection awareness |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9216683/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35757186 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2022.127804 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT yuanyiran optimalcontrolandcosteffectivenessanalysisforacovid19modelwithindividualprotectionawareness AT lining optimalcontrolandcosteffectivenessanalysisforacovid19modelwithindividualprotectionawareness |