Estimating Lost Gas Content for Shales Considering Real Boundary Conditions during the Core Recovery Process

[Image: see text] Shale gas has become an important natural gas resource in recent years as the conventional oil and gas resources are depleting. Shale gas content is one of the most important parameters for reserve calculation and sweet-spot prediction. The traditional core recovery method is widely used to determine gas content. However, the estimation of lost gas content is the main factor of error and difficulty. Large errors and uncertainties occur when using the widely used methods, such as the United States Bureau of Mines (USBM) method. Hence, a more accurate method is required. In this work, a full-process model is developed in COMSOL Multiphysics to describe the lost gas with time during the core recovery process as well as the desorption stage after the core is covered. In this method, by setting the initial gas pressure and flow parameters and matching the desorbed gas volume and considering variable diffusivity with respect to temperature, the initial gas content and the gas lost with respect to time are calculated. Overall, 10 field data are tested using this full-process model, and the USBM method is also applied to compare the results. It is found that if the ratio of lost gas volume estimated using the USBM method to the desorbed gas volume of the field data is lower than 2.0, the USBM method underestimates the lost gas compared to the full-process method; if the ratio is about 2.0, the results from the USBM and the full-process methods are comparable; and if the ratio is close to 3.0, the USBM method tends to overestimate the lost gas. The modeling results indicate that this proposed full-process method is more theoretically sound than the USBM method, which has high uncertainties depending on the number of desorbed gas data points used. Nevertheless, this proposed method requires a large number of parameters, leading to the difficulty in finding true parameters. Therefore, an optimization algorithm is required. In summary, this study provides theoretical support and a mathematical model for the inversion calculation of lost gas during shale core recovery. It is helpful to evaluate the resource potential and development economics of shale gas more accurately.