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Fertility Preferences and Contraceptive Change in Low‐ and Middle‐Income Countries
The past four decades have witnessed an enormous increase in modern contraception in most low‐ and middle‐income countries. We examine the extent to which this change can be attributed to changes in fertility preferences versus fuller implementation of fertility preferences, a distinction at the hea...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
John Wiley and Sons Inc.
2022
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9219575/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35727081 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/sifp.12202 |
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author | Ibitoye, Mobolaji Casterline, John B. Zhang, Chenyao |
author_facet | Ibitoye, Mobolaji Casterline, John B. Zhang, Chenyao |
author_sort | Ibitoye, Mobolaji |
collection | PubMed |
description | The past four decades have witnessed an enormous increase in modern contraception in most low‐ and middle‐income countries. We examine the extent to which this change can be attributed to changes in fertility preferences versus fuller implementation of fertility preferences, a distinction at the heart of intense debates about the returns to investments in family planning services. We analyze national survey data from five major survey programs: World Fertility Surveys, Demographic Health Surveys, Reproductive Health Surveys, Pan‐Arab Project for Child Development or Family Health, and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys. We perform regression decomposition of change between successive surveys in 59 countries (330 decompositions in total). Change in preferences accounts for little of the change: less than 10 percent in a basic decomposition and about 15 percent under a more elaborate specification. This is a powerful empirical refutation of the view that contraceptive change has been driven principally by reductions in demand for children. We show that this outcome is not surprising given that the distribution of women according to fertility preferences is surprisingly stable over time. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9219575 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | John Wiley and Sons Inc. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-92195752022-10-14 Fertility Preferences and Contraceptive Change in Low‐ and Middle‐Income Countries Ibitoye, Mobolaji Casterline, John B. Zhang, Chenyao Stud Fam Plann Articles The past four decades have witnessed an enormous increase in modern contraception in most low‐ and middle‐income countries. We examine the extent to which this change can be attributed to changes in fertility preferences versus fuller implementation of fertility preferences, a distinction at the heart of intense debates about the returns to investments in family planning services. We analyze national survey data from five major survey programs: World Fertility Surveys, Demographic Health Surveys, Reproductive Health Surveys, Pan‐Arab Project for Child Development or Family Health, and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys. We perform regression decomposition of change between successive surveys in 59 countries (330 decompositions in total). Change in preferences accounts for little of the change: less than 10 percent in a basic decomposition and about 15 percent under a more elaborate specification. This is a powerful empirical refutation of the view that contraceptive change has been driven principally by reductions in demand for children. We show that this outcome is not surprising given that the distribution of women according to fertility preferences is surprisingly stable over time. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2022-06-21 2022-06 /pmc/articles/PMC9219575/ /pubmed/35727081 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/sifp.12202 Text en © 2022 The Authors. Studies in Family Planning published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Population Council. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
spellingShingle | Articles Ibitoye, Mobolaji Casterline, John B. Zhang, Chenyao Fertility Preferences and Contraceptive Change in Low‐ and Middle‐Income Countries |
title | Fertility Preferences and Contraceptive Change in Low‐ and Middle‐Income Countries |
title_full | Fertility Preferences and Contraceptive Change in Low‐ and Middle‐Income Countries |
title_fullStr | Fertility Preferences and Contraceptive Change in Low‐ and Middle‐Income Countries |
title_full_unstemmed | Fertility Preferences and Contraceptive Change in Low‐ and Middle‐Income Countries |
title_short | Fertility Preferences and Contraceptive Change in Low‐ and Middle‐Income Countries |
title_sort | fertility preferences and contraceptive change in low‐ and middle‐income countries |
topic | Articles |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9219575/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35727081 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/sifp.12202 |
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