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Epidemiology of Antibiotic Resistant Pathogens in Pediatric Urinary Tract Infections as a Tool to Develop a Prediction Model for Early Detection of Drug-Specific Resistance
Antibiotic resistance is an increasing problem, especially in children with urinary tract infections. Rates of drug-specific resistant pathogens were reported, and an easy prediction model to guide the clinical decision-making process for antibiotic treatment was proposed. Data on microbiological is...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
MDPI
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9220059/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35740127 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/antibiotics11060720 |
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author | Bagnasco, Francesca Piaggio, Giorgio Mesini, Alessio Mariani, Marcello Russo, Chiara Saffioti, Carolina Losurdo, Giuseppe Palmero, Candida Castagnola, Elio |
author_facet | Bagnasco, Francesca Piaggio, Giorgio Mesini, Alessio Mariani, Marcello Russo, Chiara Saffioti, Carolina Losurdo, Giuseppe Palmero, Candida Castagnola, Elio |
author_sort | Bagnasco, Francesca |
collection | PubMed |
description | Antibiotic resistance is an increasing problem, especially in children with urinary tract infections. Rates of drug-specific resistant pathogens were reported, and an easy prediction model to guide the clinical decision-making process for antibiotic treatment was proposed. Data on microbiological isolation from urinoculture, between January 2007–December 2018 at Istituto Gaslini, Italy, in patients aged <19 years were extracted. Logistic regression-based prediction scores were calculated. Discrimination was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; calibration was assessed by the Hosmer and Lemeshow test and the Spiegelhalterz test. A total of 9449 bacterial strains were isolated in 6207 patients; 27.2% were <6 months old at the first episode. Enterobacteriales (Escherichia coli and other Enterobacteriales) accounted for 80.4% of all isolates. Amoxicillin-clavulanate (AMC) and cefixime (CFI) Enterobacteriales resistance was 32.8% and 13.7%, respectively, and remained quite stable among the different age groups. On the contrary, resistance to ciprofloxacin (CIP) (overall 9.6%) and cotrimoxazole (SXT) (overall 28%) increased with age. After multivariable analysis, resistance to AMC/CFI could be predicted by the following: sex; age at sampling; department of admission; previous number of bacterial pathogens isolated. Resistance to CIP/SXT could be predicted by the same factors, excluding sex. The models achieved very good calibration but moderate discrimination performance. Specific antibiotic resistance among Enterobacteriales could be predicted using the proposed scoring system to guide empirical antibiotic choice. Further studies are needed to validate this tool. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9220059 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | MDPI |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-92200592022-06-24 Epidemiology of Antibiotic Resistant Pathogens in Pediatric Urinary Tract Infections as a Tool to Develop a Prediction Model for Early Detection of Drug-Specific Resistance Bagnasco, Francesca Piaggio, Giorgio Mesini, Alessio Mariani, Marcello Russo, Chiara Saffioti, Carolina Losurdo, Giuseppe Palmero, Candida Castagnola, Elio Antibiotics (Basel) Article Antibiotic resistance is an increasing problem, especially in children with urinary tract infections. Rates of drug-specific resistant pathogens were reported, and an easy prediction model to guide the clinical decision-making process for antibiotic treatment was proposed. Data on microbiological isolation from urinoculture, between January 2007–December 2018 at Istituto Gaslini, Italy, in patients aged <19 years were extracted. Logistic regression-based prediction scores were calculated. Discrimination was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; calibration was assessed by the Hosmer and Lemeshow test and the Spiegelhalterz test. A total of 9449 bacterial strains were isolated in 6207 patients; 27.2% were <6 months old at the first episode. Enterobacteriales (Escherichia coli and other Enterobacteriales) accounted for 80.4% of all isolates. Amoxicillin-clavulanate (AMC) and cefixime (CFI) Enterobacteriales resistance was 32.8% and 13.7%, respectively, and remained quite stable among the different age groups. On the contrary, resistance to ciprofloxacin (CIP) (overall 9.6%) and cotrimoxazole (SXT) (overall 28%) increased with age. After multivariable analysis, resistance to AMC/CFI could be predicted by the following: sex; age at sampling; department of admission; previous number of bacterial pathogens isolated. Resistance to CIP/SXT could be predicted by the same factors, excluding sex. The models achieved very good calibration but moderate discrimination performance. Specific antibiotic resistance among Enterobacteriales could be predicted using the proposed scoring system to guide empirical antibiotic choice. Further studies are needed to validate this tool. MDPI 2022-05-26 /pmc/articles/PMC9220059/ /pubmed/35740127 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/antibiotics11060720 Text en © 2022 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Article Bagnasco, Francesca Piaggio, Giorgio Mesini, Alessio Mariani, Marcello Russo, Chiara Saffioti, Carolina Losurdo, Giuseppe Palmero, Candida Castagnola, Elio Epidemiology of Antibiotic Resistant Pathogens in Pediatric Urinary Tract Infections as a Tool to Develop a Prediction Model for Early Detection of Drug-Specific Resistance |
title | Epidemiology of Antibiotic Resistant Pathogens in Pediatric Urinary Tract Infections as a Tool to Develop a Prediction Model for Early Detection of Drug-Specific Resistance |
title_full | Epidemiology of Antibiotic Resistant Pathogens in Pediatric Urinary Tract Infections as a Tool to Develop a Prediction Model for Early Detection of Drug-Specific Resistance |
title_fullStr | Epidemiology of Antibiotic Resistant Pathogens in Pediatric Urinary Tract Infections as a Tool to Develop a Prediction Model for Early Detection of Drug-Specific Resistance |
title_full_unstemmed | Epidemiology of Antibiotic Resistant Pathogens in Pediatric Urinary Tract Infections as a Tool to Develop a Prediction Model for Early Detection of Drug-Specific Resistance |
title_short | Epidemiology of Antibiotic Resistant Pathogens in Pediatric Urinary Tract Infections as a Tool to Develop a Prediction Model for Early Detection of Drug-Specific Resistance |
title_sort | epidemiology of antibiotic resistant pathogens in pediatric urinary tract infections as a tool to develop a prediction model for early detection of drug-specific resistance |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9220059/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35740127 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/antibiotics11060720 |
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