Frailty trajectory among community-dwelling middle-aged and older adults in Korea: evidence from the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging

BACKGROUND: There is no study on the frailty trajectory including both middle-aged and older people, and the understanding of the long-term frailty trajectory is insufficient. This study aimed to identify the frailty trajectory, subgroups of the frailty trajectory, and the predictors that differentiate these subgroups among community-dwelling middle-aged and older adults. METHODS: The participants were 9,775 individuals aged 45 years and older who participated in the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging (2006–2018). Frailty was measured using a frailty instrument comprising three items: grip strength weakness, exhaustion, and social isolation. Latent growth curve modeling and latent class growth modeling were performed to identify the frailty trajectory and latent classes of the trajectory. Multinomial logistic regression was used to confirm the predictors that classified the latent classes. RESULTS: Over 12 years, the slope of the frailty trajectory among the participants showed a gradual increase. In addition, there was a difference in the latent class of frailty trajectories among middle-aged and older adults. The middle-aged participants were divided into two groups: maintaining robustness and changing from pre-frailty to robustness. The older adults were divided into three groups: maintaining robustness, maintaining pre-frailty, and changing from the frailty to pre-frailty group. Regular exercise, cognitive dysfunction, and social participation were significant predictors that differentiated each latent class in both middle-aged and older adults; additionally, current smoking and the number of chronic diseases were significant predictors in middle-aged people. CONCLUSIONS: Various subgroups within the frailty trajectory existed among community-dwelling middle-aged and older adults. To reduce frailty, it is necessary to intervene with modifiable factors appropriate for each age group. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-022-03229-7.