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Analysis of Physicians’ Probability Estimates of a Medical Outcome Based on a Sequence of Events

IMPORTANCE: The probability of a conjunction of 2 independent events is the product of the probabilities of the 2 components and therefore cannot exceed the probability of either component; violation of this basic law is called the conjunction fallacy. A common medical decision-making scenario invol...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Arkes, Hal R., Aberegg, Scott K., Arpin, Kevin A.
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	American Medical Association 2022
Materias:	Original Investigation
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9237793/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35759260 http://dx.doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.18804

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