Predicting Residual Angina After Chronic Total Occlusion Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Insights from the OPEN‐CTO Registry

BACKGROUND: Given that percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) of a chronic total occlusion (CTO) is indicated primarily for symptom relief, identifying patients most likely to benefit is critically important for patient selection and shared decision‐making. Therefore, we identified factors associated with residual angina frequency after CTO PCI and developed a model to predict postprocedure anginal burden. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among patients in the OPEN‐CTO (Outcomes, Patient Health Status, and Efficiency in Chronic Total Occlusion Hybrid Procedures) registry, we evaluated the association between patient characteristics and residual angina frequency at 6 months, as assessed by the Seattle Angina Questionnaire Angina Frequency Scale. We then constructed a prediction model for angina status after CTO PCI using ordinal regression. Among 901 patients undergoing CTO PCI, 28% had no angina, 31% had monthly angina, 30% had weekly angina, and 12% had daily angina at baseline. Six months later, 53% of patients had a ≥20‐point increase in Seattle Angina Questionnaire Angina Frequency Scale score. The final model to predict residual angina after CTO PCI included baseline angina frequency, baseline nitroglycerin use frequency, dyspnea symptoms, depressive symptoms, number of antianginal medications, PCI indication, and presence of multiple CTO lesions and had a C index of 0.78. Baseline angina frequency and nitroglycerin use frequency explained 71% of the predictive power of the model, and the relationship between model components and angina improvement at 6 months varied by baseline angina status. CONCLUSIONS: A 7‐component OPEN‐AP (OPEN‐CTO Angina Prediction) score can predict angina improvement and residual angina after CTO PCI using variables commonly available before intervention. These findings have implications for appropriate patient selection and counseling for CTO PCI.