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Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil

In developing countries, outbreaks of zoonotic diseases (ZDs) result from intertwined ecological, socioeconomic, and demographic processes that shape conditions for (i) increased contact between vulnerable human population and wildlife in areas undergoing environmental degradation and (ii) the rapid...

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Autores principales: Winck, Gisele R., Raimundo, Rafael L. G., Fernandes-Ferreira, Hugo, Bueno, Marina G., D’Andrea, Paulo S., Rocha, Fabiana L., Cruz, Gabriella L. T., Vilar, Emmanuel M., Brandão, Martha, Cordeiro, José Luís P., Andreazzi, Cecilia S.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: American Association for the Advancement of Science 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9242594/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35767624
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abo5774
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author Winck, Gisele R.
Raimundo, Rafael L. G.
Fernandes-Ferreira, Hugo
Bueno, Marina G.
D’Andrea, Paulo S.
Rocha, Fabiana L.
Cruz, Gabriella L. T.
Vilar, Emmanuel M.
Brandão, Martha
Cordeiro, José Luís P.
Andreazzi, Cecilia S.
author_facet Winck, Gisele R.
Raimundo, Rafael L. G.
Fernandes-Ferreira, Hugo
Bueno, Marina G.
D’Andrea, Paulo S.
Rocha, Fabiana L.
Cruz, Gabriella L. T.
Vilar, Emmanuel M.
Brandão, Martha
Cordeiro, José Luís P.
Andreazzi, Cecilia S.
author_sort Winck, Gisele R.
collection PubMed
description In developing countries, outbreaks of zoonotic diseases (ZDs) result from intertwined ecological, socioeconomic, and demographic processes that shape conditions for (i) increased contact between vulnerable human population and wildlife in areas undergoing environmental degradation and (ii) the rapid geographic spread of infections across socially vulnerable regions. In Brazil, recent increases in environmental and social vulnerabilities, amplified by economic and political crises, are potential triggers for outbreaks. We discuss Brazilian features that favor outbreaks and show a novel quantitative method for zoonotic risk assessment. Using data on nine ZDs from 2001 to 2019, we found that the most significant causal variables were vegetation cover and city remoteness. Furthermore, 8 of 27 states presented low-level risk of ZD outbreaks. Given the ZD-bushmeat connection, we identified central hunted mammals that should be surveilled to prevent spillover events. The current challenge is to coordinate intersectoral collaboration for effective One Health management in megadiverse countries with high social vulnerability and growing environmental degradation like Brazil.
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spelling pubmed-92425942022-07-13 Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil Winck, Gisele R. Raimundo, Rafael L. G. Fernandes-Ferreira, Hugo Bueno, Marina G. D’Andrea, Paulo S. Rocha, Fabiana L. Cruz, Gabriella L. T. Vilar, Emmanuel M. Brandão, Martha Cordeiro, José Luís P. Andreazzi, Cecilia S. Sci Adv Social and Interdisciplinary Sciences In developing countries, outbreaks of zoonotic diseases (ZDs) result from intertwined ecological, socioeconomic, and demographic processes that shape conditions for (i) increased contact between vulnerable human population and wildlife in areas undergoing environmental degradation and (ii) the rapid geographic spread of infections across socially vulnerable regions. In Brazil, recent increases in environmental and social vulnerabilities, amplified by economic and political crises, are potential triggers for outbreaks. We discuss Brazilian features that favor outbreaks and show a novel quantitative method for zoonotic risk assessment. Using data on nine ZDs from 2001 to 2019, we found that the most significant causal variables were vegetation cover and city remoteness. Furthermore, 8 of 27 states presented low-level risk of ZD outbreaks. Given the ZD-bushmeat connection, we identified central hunted mammals that should be surveilled to prevent spillover events. The current challenge is to coordinate intersectoral collaboration for effective One Health management in megadiverse countries with high social vulnerability and growing environmental degradation like Brazil. American Association for the Advancement of Science 2022-06-29 /pmc/articles/PMC9242594/ /pubmed/35767624 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abo5774 Text en Copyright © 2022 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 4.0 (CC BY-NC). https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) , which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, so long as the resultant use is not for commercial advantage and provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Social and Interdisciplinary Sciences
Winck, Gisele R.
Raimundo, Rafael L. G.
Fernandes-Ferreira, Hugo
Bueno, Marina G.
D’Andrea, Paulo S.
Rocha, Fabiana L.
Cruz, Gabriella L. T.
Vilar, Emmanuel M.
Brandão, Martha
Cordeiro, José Luís P.
Andreazzi, Cecilia S.
Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil
title Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil
title_full Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil
title_fullStr Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil
title_short Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil
title_sort socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in brazil
topic Social and Interdisciplinary Sciences
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9242594/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35767624
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abo5774
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