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Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil
In developing countries, outbreaks of zoonotic diseases (ZDs) result from intertwined ecological, socioeconomic, and demographic processes that shape conditions for (i) increased contact between vulnerable human population and wildlife in areas undergoing environmental degradation and (ii) the rapid...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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American Association for the Advancement of Science
2022
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9242594/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35767624 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abo5774 |
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author | Winck, Gisele R. Raimundo, Rafael L. G. Fernandes-Ferreira, Hugo Bueno, Marina G. D’Andrea, Paulo S. Rocha, Fabiana L. Cruz, Gabriella L. T. Vilar, Emmanuel M. Brandão, Martha Cordeiro, José Luís P. Andreazzi, Cecilia S. |
author_facet | Winck, Gisele R. Raimundo, Rafael L. G. Fernandes-Ferreira, Hugo Bueno, Marina G. D’Andrea, Paulo S. Rocha, Fabiana L. Cruz, Gabriella L. T. Vilar, Emmanuel M. Brandão, Martha Cordeiro, José Luís P. Andreazzi, Cecilia S. |
author_sort | Winck, Gisele R. |
collection | PubMed |
description | In developing countries, outbreaks of zoonotic diseases (ZDs) result from intertwined ecological, socioeconomic, and demographic processes that shape conditions for (i) increased contact between vulnerable human population and wildlife in areas undergoing environmental degradation and (ii) the rapid geographic spread of infections across socially vulnerable regions. In Brazil, recent increases in environmental and social vulnerabilities, amplified by economic and political crises, are potential triggers for outbreaks. We discuss Brazilian features that favor outbreaks and show a novel quantitative method for zoonotic risk assessment. Using data on nine ZDs from 2001 to 2019, we found that the most significant causal variables were vegetation cover and city remoteness. Furthermore, 8 of 27 states presented low-level risk of ZD outbreaks. Given the ZD-bushmeat connection, we identified central hunted mammals that should be surveilled to prevent spillover events. The current challenge is to coordinate intersectoral collaboration for effective One Health management in megadiverse countries with high social vulnerability and growing environmental degradation like Brazil. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9242594 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | American Association for the Advancement of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-92425942022-07-13 Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil Winck, Gisele R. Raimundo, Rafael L. G. Fernandes-Ferreira, Hugo Bueno, Marina G. D’Andrea, Paulo S. Rocha, Fabiana L. Cruz, Gabriella L. T. Vilar, Emmanuel M. Brandão, Martha Cordeiro, José Luís P. Andreazzi, Cecilia S. Sci Adv Social and Interdisciplinary Sciences In developing countries, outbreaks of zoonotic diseases (ZDs) result from intertwined ecological, socioeconomic, and demographic processes that shape conditions for (i) increased contact between vulnerable human population and wildlife in areas undergoing environmental degradation and (ii) the rapid geographic spread of infections across socially vulnerable regions. In Brazil, recent increases in environmental and social vulnerabilities, amplified by economic and political crises, are potential triggers for outbreaks. We discuss Brazilian features that favor outbreaks and show a novel quantitative method for zoonotic risk assessment. Using data on nine ZDs from 2001 to 2019, we found that the most significant causal variables were vegetation cover and city remoteness. Furthermore, 8 of 27 states presented low-level risk of ZD outbreaks. Given the ZD-bushmeat connection, we identified central hunted mammals that should be surveilled to prevent spillover events. The current challenge is to coordinate intersectoral collaboration for effective One Health management in megadiverse countries with high social vulnerability and growing environmental degradation like Brazil. American Association for the Advancement of Science 2022-06-29 /pmc/articles/PMC9242594/ /pubmed/35767624 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abo5774 Text en Copyright © 2022 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 4.0 (CC BY-NC). https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) , which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, so long as the resultant use is not for commercial advantage and provided the original work is properly cited. |
spellingShingle | Social and Interdisciplinary Sciences Winck, Gisele R. Raimundo, Rafael L. G. Fernandes-Ferreira, Hugo Bueno, Marina G. D’Andrea, Paulo S. Rocha, Fabiana L. Cruz, Gabriella L. T. Vilar, Emmanuel M. Brandão, Martha Cordeiro, José Luís P. Andreazzi, Cecilia S. Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil |
title | Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil |
title_full | Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil |
title_fullStr | Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed | Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil |
title_short | Socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in Brazil |
title_sort | socioecological vulnerability and the risk of zoonotic disease emergence in brazil |
topic | Social and Interdisciplinary Sciences |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9242594/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35767624 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abo5774 |
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