Identification and Validation of Prognostic Model for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma Based on Necroptosis-Related Genes

Background: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the most malignant tumors with a poor prognosis. Recently, necroptosis has been reported to participate in the progression of multiple tumors. However, few studies have revealed the relationship between necroptosis and PDAC, and the role of necroptosis in PDAC has not yet been clarified. Methods: The mRNA expression data and corresponding clinical information of PDAC patients were downloaded from the TCGA and GEO databases. The necroptosis-related genes (NRGs) were obtained from the CUSABIO website. Consensus clustering was performed to divide PDAC patients into two clusters. Univariate and LASSO Cox regression analyses were applied to screen the NRGs related to prognosis to construct the prognostic model. The predictive value of the prognostic model was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and ROC curve. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate whether the risk score could be used as an independent predictor of PDAC prognosis. Gene Ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) and single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) were used for functional enrichment analysis. Finally, using qRT-PCR examined NRGs mRNA expression in vitro. Results: Based on the TCGA database, a total of 22 differential expressed NRGs were identified, among which eight NRGs (CAPN2, CHMP4C, PLA2G4F, PYGB, BCL2, JAK3, PLA2G4C and STAT4) that may be related to prognosis were screened by univariate Cox regression analysis. And CAPN2, CHMP4C, PLA2G4C and STAT4 were further selected to construct the prognostic model. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and ROC curve showed that there was a significant correlation between the risk model and prognosis. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that the risk score of the prognostic model could be used as an independent predictor. The model efficacy was further demonstrated in the GEO cohort. Functional analysis revealed that there were significant differences in immune status between high and low-risk groups. Finally, the qRT-PCR results revealed a similar dysregulation of NRGs in PDAC cell lines. Conclusion: This study successfully constructed and verified a prognostic model based on NRGs, which has a good predictive value for the prognosis of PDAC patients.