An Epidemic Model with Time-Distributed Recovery and Death Rates

A compartmental epidemiological model with distributed recovery and death rates is proposed. In some particular cases, the model can be reduced to the conventional SIR model. However, in general, the dynamics of epidemic progression in this model is different. Distributed recovery and death rates ar...

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Autores principales: Ghosh, Samiran, Volpert, Vitaly, Banerjee, Malay
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer US 2022
Materias:
Special Collection: Modelling of Biological Systems
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9243747/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35763126
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-022-01028-0
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author Ghosh, Samiran
Volpert, Vitaly
Banerjee, Malay
author_facet Ghosh, Samiran
Volpert, Vitaly
Banerjee, Malay
author_sort Ghosh, Samiran
collection PubMed
description A compartmental epidemiological model with distributed recovery and death rates is proposed. In some particular cases, the model can be reduced to the conventional SIR model. However, in general, the dynamics of epidemic progression in this model is different. Distributed recovery and death rates are evaluated from COVID-19 data. The model is validated by the epidemiological data for different countries, and it shows better agreement with the data than the SIR model. The time-dependent disease transmission rate is estimated.
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spelling pubmed-92437472022-06-30 An Epidemic Model with Time-Distributed Recovery and Death Rates Ghosh, Samiran Volpert, Vitaly Banerjee, Malay Bull Math Biol Special Collection: Modelling of Biological Systems A compartmental epidemiological model with distributed recovery and death rates is proposed. In some particular cases, the model can be reduced to the conventional SIR model. However, in general, the dynamics of epidemic progression in this model is different. Distributed recovery and death rates are evaluated from COVID-19 data. The model is validated by the epidemiological data for different countries, and it shows better agreement with the data than the SIR model. The time-dependent disease transmission rate is estimated. Springer US 2022-06-28 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC9243747/ /pubmed/35763126 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-022-01028-0 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Society for Mathematical Biology 2022 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Special Collection: Modelling of Biological Systems
Ghosh, Samiran
Volpert, Vitaly
Banerjee, Malay
An Epidemic Model with Time-Distributed Recovery and Death Rates
title An Epidemic Model with Time-Distributed Recovery and Death Rates
title_full An Epidemic Model with Time-Distributed Recovery and Death Rates
title_fullStr An Epidemic Model with Time-Distributed Recovery and Death Rates
title_full_unstemmed An Epidemic Model with Time-Distributed Recovery and Death Rates
title_short An Epidemic Model with Time-Distributed Recovery and Death Rates
title_sort epidemic model with time-distributed recovery and death rates
topic Special Collection: Modelling of Biological Systems
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9243747/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35763126
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-022-01028-0
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