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Cellular automata in the light of COVID-19

Currently, the world has been facing the brunt of a pandemic due to a disease called COVID-19 for the last 2 years. To study the spread of such infectious diseases it is important to not only understand their temporal evolution but also the spatial evolution. In this work, the spread of this disease...

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Autores principales: Chowdhury, Sourav, Roychowdhury, Suparna, Chaudhuri, Indranath
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9244508/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35789685
http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00619-1
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author Chowdhury, Sourav
Roychowdhury, Suparna
Chaudhuri, Indranath
author_facet Chowdhury, Sourav
Roychowdhury, Suparna
Chaudhuri, Indranath
author_sort Chowdhury, Sourav
collection PubMed
description Currently, the world has been facing the brunt of a pandemic due to a disease called COVID-19 for the last 2 years. To study the spread of such infectious diseases it is important to not only understand their temporal evolution but also the spatial evolution. In this work, the spread of this disease has been studied with a cellular automata (CA) model to find the temporal and the spatial behavior of it. Here, we have proposed a neighborhood criteria which will help us to measure the social confinement at the time of the disease spread. The two main parameters of our model are (i) disease transmission probability (q) which helps us to measure the infectivity of a disease and (ii) exponent (n) which helps us to measure the degree of the social confinement. Here, we have studied various spatial growths of the disease by simulating this CA model. Finally we have tried to fit our model with the COVID-19 data of India for various waves and have attempted to match our model predictions with regards to each wave to see how the different parameters vary with respect to infectivity and restrictions in social interaction.
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spelling pubmed-92445082022-06-30 Cellular automata in the light of COVID-19 Chowdhury, Sourav Roychowdhury, Suparna Chaudhuri, Indranath Eur Phys J Spec Top Regular Article Currently, the world has been facing the brunt of a pandemic due to a disease called COVID-19 for the last 2 years. To study the spread of such infectious diseases it is important to not only understand their temporal evolution but also the spatial evolution. In this work, the spread of this disease has been studied with a cellular automata (CA) model to find the temporal and the spatial behavior of it. Here, we have proposed a neighborhood criteria which will help us to measure the social confinement at the time of the disease spread. The two main parameters of our model are (i) disease transmission probability (q) which helps us to measure the infectivity of a disease and (ii) exponent (n) which helps us to measure the degree of the social confinement. Here, we have studied various spatial growths of the disease by simulating this CA model. Finally we have tried to fit our model with the COVID-19 data of India for various waves and have attempted to match our model predictions with regards to each wave to see how the different parameters vary with respect to infectivity and restrictions in social interaction. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022-06-26 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC9244508/ /pubmed/35789685 http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00619-1 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to EDP Sciences, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2022 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Regular Article
Chowdhury, Sourav
Roychowdhury, Suparna
Chaudhuri, Indranath
Cellular automata in the light of COVID-19
title Cellular automata in the light of COVID-19
title_full Cellular automata in the light of COVID-19
title_fullStr Cellular automata in the light of COVID-19
title_full_unstemmed Cellular automata in the light of COVID-19
title_short Cellular automata in the light of COVID-19
title_sort cellular automata in the light of covid-19
topic Regular Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9244508/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35789685
http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00619-1
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