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Application of optimal control to the dynamics of COVID-19 disease in South Africa

SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) belongs to the beta-coronavirus family, which include: the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV). Since its outbreak in South Africa in March 2020, it has lead to high mortality and thousands of...

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Autores principales: Gatyeni, S.P., Chukwu, C.W., Chirove, F., Fatmawati, Nyabadza, F.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of African Institute of Mathematical Sciences / Next Einstein Initiative. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9245336/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35791321
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2022.e01268
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author Gatyeni, S.P.
Chukwu, C.W.
Chirove, F.
Fatmawati
Nyabadza, F.
author_facet Gatyeni, S.P.
Chukwu, C.W.
Chirove, F.
Fatmawati
Nyabadza, F.
author_sort Gatyeni, S.P.
collection PubMed
description SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) belongs to the beta-coronavirus family, which include: the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV). Since its outbreak in South Africa in March 2020, it has lead to high mortality and thousands of people contracting the virus. Mathematical analysis of a model without controls was done and the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] of the COVID-19 for the South African pandemic determined. Permissible controls were introduced and an optimal control problem using the Pontraygain Maximum Principle is formulated. Numerical findings suggest that joint implementation of effective mask usage, physical distancing and active screening and testing, are effective measures to curtail the spread of the disease in the human population. The results obtained in this paper are of public health importance in the control and management of the spread for the novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, in South Africa.
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spelling pubmed-92453362022-07-01 Application of optimal control to the dynamics of COVID-19 disease in South Africa Gatyeni, S.P. Chukwu, C.W. Chirove, F. Fatmawati Nyabadza, F. Sci Afr Article SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) belongs to the beta-coronavirus family, which include: the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV). Since its outbreak in South Africa in March 2020, it has lead to high mortality and thousands of people contracting the virus. Mathematical analysis of a model without controls was done and the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] of the COVID-19 for the South African pandemic determined. Permissible controls were introduced and an optimal control problem using the Pontraygain Maximum Principle is formulated. Numerical findings suggest that joint implementation of effective mask usage, physical distancing and active screening and testing, are effective measures to curtail the spread of the disease in the human population. The results obtained in this paper are of public health importance in the control and management of the spread for the novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, in South Africa. The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of African Institute of Mathematical Sciences / Next Einstein Initiative. 2022-07 2022-06-30 /pmc/articles/PMC9245336/ /pubmed/35791321 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2022.e01268 Text en © 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of African Institute of Mathematical Sciences / Next Einstein Initiative. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Gatyeni, S.P.
Chukwu, C.W.
Chirove, F.
Fatmawati
Nyabadza, F.
Application of optimal control to the dynamics of COVID-19 disease in South Africa
title Application of optimal control to the dynamics of COVID-19 disease in South Africa
title_full Application of optimal control to the dynamics of COVID-19 disease in South Africa
title_fullStr Application of optimal control to the dynamics of COVID-19 disease in South Africa
title_full_unstemmed Application of optimal control to the dynamics of COVID-19 disease in South Africa
title_short Application of optimal control to the dynamics of COVID-19 disease in South Africa
title_sort application of optimal control to the dynamics of covid-19 disease in south africa
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9245336/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35791321
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2022.e01268
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