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Deep learning in the stock market—a systematic survey of practice, backtesting, and applications

The widespread usage of machine learning in different mainstream contexts has made deep learning the technique of choice in various domains, including finance. This systematic survey explores various scenarios employing deep learning in financial markets, especially the stock market. A key requireme...

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Autores principales: Olorunnimbe, Kenniy, Viktor, Herna
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Netherlands 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9245389/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35791405
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10462-022-10226-0
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author Olorunnimbe, Kenniy
Viktor, Herna
author_facet Olorunnimbe, Kenniy
Viktor, Herna
author_sort Olorunnimbe, Kenniy
collection PubMed
description The widespread usage of machine learning in different mainstream contexts has made deep learning the technique of choice in various domains, including finance. This systematic survey explores various scenarios employing deep learning in financial markets, especially the stock market. A key requirement for our methodology is its focus on research papers involving backtesting. That is, we consider whether the experimentation mode is sufficient for market practitioners to consider the work in a real-world use case. Works meeting this requirement are distributed across seven distinct specializations. Most studies focus on trade strategy, price prediction, and portfolio management, with a limited number considering market simulation, stock selection, hedging strategy, and risk management. We also recognize that domain-specific metrics such as “returns” and “volatility” appear most important for accurately representing model performance across specializations. Our study demonstrates that, although there have been some improvements in reproducibility, substantial work remains to be done regarding model explainability. Accordingly, we suggest several future directions, such as improving trust by creating reproducible, explainable, and accountable models and emphasizing prediction of longer-term horizons—potentially via the utilization of supplementary data—which continues to represent a significant unresolved challenge.
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spelling pubmed-92453892022-07-01 Deep learning in the stock market—a systematic survey of practice, backtesting, and applications Olorunnimbe, Kenniy Viktor, Herna Artif Intell Rev Article The widespread usage of machine learning in different mainstream contexts has made deep learning the technique of choice in various domains, including finance. This systematic survey explores various scenarios employing deep learning in financial markets, especially the stock market. A key requirement for our methodology is its focus on research papers involving backtesting. That is, we consider whether the experimentation mode is sufficient for market practitioners to consider the work in a real-world use case. Works meeting this requirement are distributed across seven distinct specializations. Most studies focus on trade strategy, price prediction, and portfolio management, with a limited number considering market simulation, stock selection, hedging strategy, and risk management. We also recognize that domain-specific metrics such as “returns” and “volatility” appear most important for accurately representing model performance across specializations. Our study demonstrates that, although there have been some improvements in reproducibility, substantial work remains to be done regarding model explainability. Accordingly, we suggest several future directions, such as improving trust by creating reproducible, explainable, and accountable models and emphasizing prediction of longer-term horizons—potentially via the utilization of supplementary data—which continues to represent a significant unresolved challenge. Springer Netherlands 2022-06-30 2023 /pmc/articles/PMC9245389/ /pubmed/35791405 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10462-022-10226-0 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Olorunnimbe, Kenniy
Viktor, Herna
Deep learning in the stock market—a systematic survey of practice, backtesting, and applications
title Deep learning in the stock market—a systematic survey of practice, backtesting, and applications
title_full Deep learning in the stock market—a systematic survey of practice, backtesting, and applications
title_fullStr Deep learning in the stock market—a systematic survey of practice, backtesting, and applications
title_full_unstemmed Deep learning in the stock market—a systematic survey of practice, backtesting, and applications
title_short Deep learning in the stock market—a systematic survey of practice, backtesting, and applications
title_sort deep learning in the stock market—a systematic survey of practice, backtesting, and applications
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9245389/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35791405
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10462-022-10226-0
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