Demographic and Geospatial Analysis of Buprenorphine and Methadone Prescription Rates

Background The medical community continues to seek to understand both the causes and consequences of opioid use disorder (OUD). The recent 2019 public release of the Automation of Reports and Consolidated Orders System (ARCOS) database from the years 2006 to 2012 provides a unique opportunity to analyze a critical period of the opioid epidemic with unprecedented data granularity. Objectives This study aims to use the ARCOS dataset to (1) determine significant contributory variables to opioid overdose death rates, (2) determine significant contributory variables to the relative prescription of buprenorphine and methadone, and (3) evaluate the existence of statistically significant geospatial clusters in buprenorphine and methadone prescription rates. Methods This study utilizes multiple databases, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (WONDER), the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) prescription drug data, and the United States (US) Census demographics, to examine the relationship between the different treatments of OUD. Linear regressions are used to determine significant contributory factors in overdose rate and the buprenorphine-to-methadone ratio. Geospatial analysis is used to identify geographic clusters in opioid overdoses and treatment patterns. Results Methadone prescriptions, racial demographics, and poverty were found to significantly correspond to opioid overdose death rates (p < 0.05). Buprenorphine prescriptions were not found to be significant (p = 0.20). Opioid overdoses, metro character, racial categorization, and education were found to significantly correspond to the ratio of buprenorphine to methadone prescribed (p < 0.05). Cluster analysis demonstrated different geospatial distributions in the prescriptions of buprenorphine and methadone (p < 0.05). Conclusion Historically, methadone prescriptions have been higher in areas with high overdose rates. Buprenorphine and methadone prescribing patterns have historically demonstrated different geographic trends.