Does the sixth wave of COVID‐19 break in Okinawa?

BACKGROUND: We aimed to forecast possible situations of the COVID‐19 spreading for Okinawa Prefecture in Japan. METHODS: The VSIIR model is proposed to extend the SIIR model to include vaccine effects where the parameter [Formula: see text] denotes the vaccination rate and is treated as a control pa...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Tomochi, Masaki, Kono, Mitsuo
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2022
Materias:
Preliminary Report
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9249941/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35800642
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jgf2.550
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author Tomochi, Masaki
Kono, Mitsuo
author_facet Tomochi, Masaki
Kono, Mitsuo
author_sort Tomochi, Masaki
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: We aimed to forecast possible situations of the COVID‐19 spreading for Okinawa Prefecture in Japan. METHODS: The VSIIR model is proposed to extend the SIIR model to include vaccine effects where the parameter [Formula: see text] denotes the vaccination rate and is treated as a control parameter on which possible situations for Okinawa would depend. RESULTS: It is shown that the infection ends without spreading if [Formula: see text] is satisfied where [Formula: see text] refers to the antibody duration, [Formula: see text] for infection and [Formula: see text] for vaccination, respectively. CONCLUSION: It is important to set a vaccination policy that can save lives and maintain daily life at the same time.
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spelling pubmed-92499412022-07-06 Does the sixth wave of COVID‐19 break in Okinawa? Tomochi, Masaki Kono, Mitsuo J Gen Fam Med Preliminary Report BACKGROUND: We aimed to forecast possible situations of the COVID‐19 spreading for Okinawa Prefecture in Japan. METHODS: The VSIIR model is proposed to extend the SIIR model to include vaccine effects where the parameter [Formula: see text] denotes the vaccination rate and is treated as a control parameter on which possible situations for Okinawa would depend. RESULTS: It is shown that the infection ends without spreading if [Formula: see text] is satisfied where [Formula: see text] refers to the antibody duration, [Formula: see text] for infection and [Formula: see text] for vaccination, respectively. CONCLUSION: It is important to set a vaccination policy that can save lives and maintain daily life at the same time. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2022-05-02 /pmc/articles/PMC9249941/ /pubmed/35800642 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jgf2.550 Text en © 2022 The Authors. Journal of General and Family Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd on behalf of Japan Primary Care Association. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Preliminary Report
Tomochi, Masaki
Kono, Mitsuo
Does the sixth wave of COVID‐19 break in Okinawa?
title Does the sixth wave of COVID‐19 break in Okinawa?
title_full Does the sixth wave of COVID‐19 break in Okinawa?
title_fullStr Does the sixth wave of COVID‐19 break in Okinawa?
title_full_unstemmed Does the sixth wave of COVID‐19 break in Okinawa?
title_short Does the sixth wave of COVID‐19 break in Okinawa?
title_sort does the sixth wave of covid‐19 break in okinawa?
topic Preliminary Report
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9249941/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35800642
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jgf2.550
work_keys_str_mv AT tomochimasaki doesthesixthwaveofcovid19breakinokinawa
AT konomitsuo doesthesixthwaveofcovid19breakinokinawa

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