Investigating the Effect of Estradiol Levels on the Risk of Breast, Endometrial, and Ovarian Cancer

BACKGROUND: High levels of estrogen are associated with increased risk of breast and endometrial cancer and have been suggested to also play a role in the development of ovarian cancer. Cancerogenic effects of estradiol, the most prominent form of estrogen, have been highlighted as a side effect of estrogen-only menopausal hormone therapy. However, whether high levels of endogenous estrogens, produced within the body, promote cancer development, has not been fully established. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to examine causal effects of estradiol on breast, endometrial, and ovarian cancer. METHODS: Here we performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) to estimate the effect of endogenous estradiol on the risk of developing breast, endometrial, and ovarian cancer, using the UK Biobank as well as 3 independent cancer cohorts. RESULTS: Using 3 independent instrumental variables, we showed that higher estradiol levels significantly increase the risk for ovarian cancer (OR = 3.18 [95% CI, 1.47-6.87], P = 0.003). We also identified a nominally significant effect for ER-positive breast cancer (OR = 2.16 [95% CI, 1.09-4.26], P = 0.027). However, we could not establish a clear link to the risk of endometrial cancer (OR = 1.93 [95% CI, 0.77-4.80], P = 0.160). CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that high estradiol levels promote the development of ovarian and ER-positive breast cancer.