Cargando…

Monitoring Spatiotemporal Distribution of the GDP of Major Cities in China during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Monitoring the fine spatiotemporal distribution of urban GDP is a critical research topic for assessing the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on economic and social growth. Based on nighttime light (NTL) images and urban land use data, this study constructs a GDP machine learning and linear estimation...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Wang, Yanjun, Teng, Fei, Wang, Mengjie, Li, Shaochun, Lin, Yunhao, Cai, Hengfan
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9265774/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35805721
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19138048
_version_ 1784743297302921216
author Wang, Yanjun
Teng, Fei
Wang, Mengjie
Li, Shaochun
Lin, Yunhao
Cai, Hengfan
author_facet Wang, Yanjun
Teng, Fei
Wang, Mengjie
Li, Shaochun
Lin, Yunhao
Cai, Hengfan
author_sort Wang, Yanjun
collection PubMed
description Monitoring the fine spatiotemporal distribution of urban GDP is a critical research topic for assessing the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on economic and social growth. Based on nighttime light (NTL) images and urban land use data, this study constructs a GDP machine learning and linear estimation model. Based on the linear model with better effect, the monthly GDP of 34 cities in China is estimated and the GDP spatialization is realized, and finally the GDP spatiotemporal correction is processed. This study analyzes the fine spatiotemporal distribution of GDP, reveals the spatiotemporal change trend of GDP in China’s major cities during the current COVID-19 pandemic, and explores the differences in the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on China’s major cities. The result shows: (1) There is a significant linear association between the total value of NTL and the GDP of subindustries, with R(2) models generated by the total value of NTL and the GDP of secondary and tertiary industries being 0.83 and 0.93. (2) The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the GDP of cities with varied degrees of development and industrial structures obviously varies across time and space. The GDP of economically developed cities such as Beijing and Shanghai are more affected by COVID-19, while the GDP of less developed cities such as Xining and Lanzhou are less affected by COVID-19. The GDP of China’s major cities fell significantly in February. As the COVID-19 outbreak was gradually brought under control in March, different cities achieved different levels of GDP recovery. This study establishes a fine spatial and temporal distribution estimation model of urban GDP by industry; it accurately monitors and assesses the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of urban GDP during the COVID-19 pandemic, reveals the impact mechanism of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economic development of major Chinese cities. Moreover, economically developed cities should pay more attention to the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. It should do well in pandemic prevention and control in airports and stations with large traffic flow. At the same time, after the COVID-19 pandemic is brought under control, they should speed up the resumption of work and production to achieve economic recovery. This study provides scientific references for COVID-19 pandemic prevention and control measures, as well as for the formulation of urban economic development policies.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-9265774
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2022
publisher MDPI
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-92657742022-07-09 Monitoring Spatiotemporal Distribution of the GDP of Major Cities in China during the COVID-19 Pandemic Wang, Yanjun Teng, Fei Wang, Mengjie Li, Shaochun Lin, Yunhao Cai, Hengfan Int J Environ Res Public Health Article Monitoring the fine spatiotemporal distribution of urban GDP is a critical research topic for assessing the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on economic and social growth. Based on nighttime light (NTL) images and urban land use data, this study constructs a GDP machine learning and linear estimation model. Based on the linear model with better effect, the monthly GDP of 34 cities in China is estimated and the GDP spatialization is realized, and finally the GDP spatiotemporal correction is processed. This study analyzes the fine spatiotemporal distribution of GDP, reveals the spatiotemporal change trend of GDP in China’s major cities during the current COVID-19 pandemic, and explores the differences in the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on China’s major cities. The result shows: (1) There is a significant linear association between the total value of NTL and the GDP of subindustries, with R(2) models generated by the total value of NTL and the GDP of secondary and tertiary industries being 0.83 and 0.93. (2) The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the GDP of cities with varied degrees of development and industrial structures obviously varies across time and space. The GDP of economically developed cities such as Beijing and Shanghai are more affected by COVID-19, while the GDP of less developed cities such as Xining and Lanzhou are less affected by COVID-19. The GDP of China’s major cities fell significantly in February. As the COVID-19 outbreak was gradually brought under control in March, different cities achieved different levels of GDP recovery. This study establishes a fine spatial and temporal distribution estimation model of urban GDP by industry; it accurately monitors and assesses the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of urban GDP during the COVID-19 pandemic, reveals the impact mechanism of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economic development of major Chinese cities. Moreover, economically developed cities should pay more attention to the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. It should do well in pandemic prevention and control in airports and stations with large traffic flow. At the same time, after the COVID-19 pandemic is brought under control, they should speed up the resumption of work and production to achieve economic recovery. This study provides scientific references for COVID-19 pandemic prevention and control measures, as well as for the formulation of urban economic development policies. MDPI 2022-06-30 /pmc/articles/PMC9265774/ /pubmed/35805721 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19138048 Text en © 2022 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Wang, Yanjun
Teng, Fei
Wang, Mengjie
Li, Shaochun
Lin, Yunhao
Cai, Hengfan
Monitoring Spatiotemporal Distribution of the GDP of Major Cities in China during the COVID-19 Pandemic
title Monitoring Spatiotemporal Distribution of the GDP of Major Cities in China during the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_full Monitoring Spatiotemporal Distribution of the GDP of Major Cities in China during the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_fullStr Monitoring Spatiotemporal Distribution of the GDP of Major Cities in China during the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_full_unstemmed Monitoring Spatiotemporal Distribution of the GDP of Major Cities in China during the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_short Monitoring Spatiotemporal Distribution of the GDP of Major Cities in China during the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_sort monitoring spatiotemporal distribution of the gdp of major cities in china during the covid-19 pandemic
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9265774/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35805721
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19138048
work_keys_str_mv AT wangyanjun monitoringspatiotemporaldistributionofthegdpofmajorcitiesinchinaduringthecovid19pandemic
AT tengfei monitoringspatiotemporaldistributionofthegdpofmajorcitiesinchinaduringthecovid19pandemic
AT wangmengjie monitoringspatiotemporaldistributionofthegdpofmajorcitiesinchinaduringthecovid19pandemic
AT lishaochun monitoringspatiotemporaldistributionofthegdpofmajorcitiesinchinaduringthecovid19pandemic
AT linyunhao monitoringspatiotemporaldistributionofthegdpofmajorcitiesinchinaduringthecovid19pandemic
AT caihengfan monitoringspatiotemporaldistributionofthegdpofmajorcitiesinchinaduringthecovid19pandemic