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2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases

COVID-19 has had a considerable impact on society since 2019, and the disease has high mortality and infection rates. There has been a particular focus on how to best manage COVID-19 and how to analyze and predict the epidemic status of infectious diseases in general. Methods The present study analy...

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Autores principales: Luan, Jie, Ba, Jianbo, Liu, Bin, Xu, Xiongli, Shu, Dong
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9270068/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35847656
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jobb.2022.06.001
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author Luan, Jie
Ba, Jianbo
Liu, Bin
Xu, Xiongli
Shu, Dong
author_facet Luan, Jie
Ba, Jianbo
Liu, Bin
Xu, Xiongli
Shu, Dong
author_sort Luan, Jie
collection PubMed
description COVID-19 has had a considerable impact on society since 2019, and the disease has high mortality and infection rates. There has been a particular focus on how to best manage COVID-19 and how to analyze and predict the epidemic status of infectious diseases in general. Methods The present study analyzed the COVID-19 epidemic patterns and made predictions of future trends based on the statistics obtained from a global infectious disease network data monitoring and early warning system (OBN, http://27.115.41.130:8888/OBN/). The development trends of other major infectious diseases were also examined. Results The global COVID-19 pandemic showed periodic increases throughout 2021. At present, there is a high incidence in European countries, especially in Eastern Europe, followed by in Africa. The risk of contracting COVID-19 was divided into high, medium–high, medium, medium–low, and low grades depending on the stage of the epidemic in each examined region over the current period. The occurrence and prevalence of major infectious diseases throughout the world did not significantly change in 2021. Conclusions The COVID-19 pandemic has strongly impacted people’s lives and the economy. The effects of global infectious diseases can be ameliorated by strengthening monitoring and early warning systems and by facilitating the international exchange of information.
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spelling pubmed-92700682022-07-11 2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases Luan, Jie Ba, Jianbo Liu, Bin Xu, Xiongli Shu, Dong J Biosaf Biosecur Research Article COVID-19 has had a considerable impact on society since 2019, and the disease has high mortality and infection rates. There has been a particular focus on how to best manage COVID-19 and how to analyze and predict the epidemic status of infectious diseases in general. Methods The present study analyzed the COVID-19 epidemic patterns and made predictions of future trends based on the statistics obtained from a global infectious disease network data monitoring and early warning system (OBN, http://27.115.41.130:8888/OBN/). The development trends of other major infectious diseases were also examined. Results The global COVID-19 pandemic showed periodic increases throughout 2021. At present, there is a high incidence in European countries, especially in Eastern Europe, followed by in Africa. The risk of contracting COVID-19 was divided into high, medium–high, medium, medium–low, and low grades depending on the stage of the epidemic in each examined region over the current period. The occurrence and prevalence of major infectious diseases throughout the world did not significantly change in 2021. Conclusions The COVID-19 pandemic has strongly impacted people’s lives and the economy. The effects of global infectious diseases can be ameliorated by strengthening monitoring and early warning systems and by facilitating the international exchange of information. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2022-12 2022-07-09 /pmc/articles/PMC9270068/ /pubmed/35847656 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jobb.2022.06.001 Text en © 2022 Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Research Article
Luan, Jie
Ba, Jianbo
Liu, Bin
Xu, Xiongli
Shu, Dong
2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases
title 2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases
title_full 2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases
title_fullStr 2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases
title_full_unstemmed 2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases
title_short 2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases
title_sort 2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9270068/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35847656
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jobb.2022.06.001
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