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Preventive and control system for the life cycle of a pandemic
Herein, a matching method for varied epidemic phase characteristics and appropriate strategies is presented, aiming at the complexities of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic and the hysteresis of strategies. The classical diffusion dynamic models of the epidemic spread are compared. Further...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. Publishing Services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd.
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9270263/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jnlssr.2022.06.002 |
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author | Wang, Chenyang Ba, Rui Wang, Ranpeng Zhang, Hui |
author_facet | Wang, Chenyang Ba, Rui Wang, Ranpeng Zhang, Hui |
author_sort | Wang, Chenyang |
collection | PubMed |
description | Herein, a matching method for varied epidemic phase characteristics and appropriate strategies is presented, aiming at the complexities of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic and the hysteresis of strategies. The classical diffusion dynamic models of the epidemic spread are compared. Furthermore, the Bass diffusion model is selected to study more characteristics of an epidemic, such as the diversities in regional internal and external infection rates. Thereafter, the classical division method vis-à-vis a pandemic life cycle is improved. A specific approach is proposed to portray more detailed characteristics of the pandemic by dividing it into more phases. Next, a four-level epidemic prevention and control measure system is concretized. The applicable phases and strategic effectiveness of each measure are integrated into the different phases of the pandemic life cycle. Finally, the matching method is applied to analyze two cases of the spread of the outbreak in cities and significant events. The findings provide a certain reference for the effectiveness of the matching method in the post-peak epidemic period. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9270263 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. Publishing Services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-92702632022-07-11 Preventive and control system for the life cycle of a pandemic Wang, Chenyang Ba, Rui Wang, Ranpeng Zhang, Hui Journal of Safety Science and Resilience Article Herein, a matching method for varied epidemic phase characteristics and appropriate strategies is presented, aiming at the complexities of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic and the hysteresis of strategies. The classical diffusion dynamic models of the epidemic spread are compared. Furthermore, the Bass diffusion model is selected to study more characteristics of an epidemic, such as the diversities in regional internal and external infection rates. Thereafter, the classical division method vis-à-vis a pandemic life cycle is improved. A specific approach is proposed to portray more detailed characteristics of the pandemic by dividing it into more phases. Next, a four-level epidemic prevention and control measure system is concretized. The applicable phases and strategic effectiveness of each measure are integrated into the different phases of the pandemic life cycle. Finally, the matching method is applied to analyze two cases of the spread of the outbreak in cities and significant events. The findings provide a certain reference for the effectiveness of the matching method in the post-peak epidemic period. China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. Publishing Services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd. 2022-12 2022-07-09 /pmc/articles/PMC9270263/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jnlssr.2022.06.002 Text en © 2022 China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. Publishing Services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Wang, Chenyang Ba, Rui Wang, Ranpeng Zhang, Hui Preventive and control system for the life cycle of a pandemic |
title | Preventive and control system for the life cycle of a pandemic |
title_full | Preventive and control system for the life cycle of a pandemic |
title_fullStr | Preventive and control system for the life cycle of a pandemic |
title_full_unstemmed | Preventive and control system for the life cycle of a pandemic |
title_short | Preventive and control system for the life cycle of a pandemic |
title_sort | preventive and control system for the life cycle of a pandemic |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9270263/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jnlssr.2022.06.002 |
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