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Strategy evaluation and optimization with an artificial society toward a Pareto optimum

Strategy evaluation and optimization in response to troubling urban issues has become a challenging issue due to increasing social uncertainty, unreliable predictions, and poor decision-making. To address this problem, we propose a universal computational experiment framework with a fine-grained art...

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Autores principales: Zhu, Zhengqiu, Chen, Bin, Chen, Hailiang, Qiu, Sihang, Fan, Changjun, Zhao, Yong, Guo, Runkang, Ai, Chuan, Liu, Zhong, Zhao, Zhiming, Fang, Liqun, Lu, Xin
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9272371/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35832746
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.xinn.2022.100274
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author Zhu, Zhengqiu
Chen, Bin
Chen, Hailiang
Qiu, Sihang
Fan, Changjun
Zhao, Yong
Guo, Runkang
Ai, Chuan
Liu, Zhong
Zhao, Zhiming
Fang, Liqun
Lu, Xin
author_facet Zhu, Zhengqiu
Chen, Bin
Chen, Hailiang
Qiu, Sihang
Fan, Changjun
Zhao, Yong
Guo, Runkang
Ai, Chuan
Liu, Zhong
Zhao, Zhiming
Fang, Liqun
Lu, Xin
author_sort Zhu, Zhengqiu
collection PubMed
description Strategy evaluation and optimization in response to troubling urban issues has become a challenging issue due to increasing social uncertainty, unreliable predictions, and poor decision-making. To address this problem, we propose a universal computational experiment framework with a fine-grained artificial society that is integrated with data-based models. The purpose of the framework is to evaluate the consequences of various combinations of strategies geared towards reaching a Pareto optimum with regards to efficacy versus costs. As an example, by modeling coronavirus 2019 mitigation, we show that Pareto frontier nations could achieve better economic growth and more effective epidemic control through the analysis of real-world data. Our work suggests that a nation’s intervention strategy could be optimized based on the measures adopted by Pareto frontier nations through large-scale computational experiments. Our solution has been validated for epidemic control, and it can be generalized to other urban issues as well.
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spelling pubmed-92723712022-07-12 Strategy evaluation and optimization with an artificial society toward a Pareto optimum Zhu, Zhengqiu Chen, Bin Chen, Hailiang Qiu, Sihang Fan, Changjun Zhao, Yong Guo, Runkang Ai, Chuan Liu, Zhong Zhao, Zhiming Fang, Liqun Lu, Xin Innovation (Camb) Perspective Strategy evaluation and optimization in response to troubling urban issues has become a challenging issue due to increasing social uncertainty, unreliable predictions, and poor decision-making. To address this problem, we propose a universal computational experiment framework with a fine-grained artificial society that is integrated with data-based models. The purpose of the framework is to evaluate the consequences of various combinations of strategies geared towards reaching a Pareto optimum with regards to efficacy versus costs. As an example, by modeling coronavirus 2019 mitigation, we show that Pareto frontier nations could achieve better economic growth and more effective epidemic control through the analysis of real-world data. Our work suggests that a nation’s intervention strategy could be optimized based on the measures adopted by Pareto frontier nations through large-scale computational experiments. Our solution has been validated for epidemic control, and it can be generalized to other urban issues as well. Elsevier 2022-06-23 /pmc/articles/PMC9272371/ /pubmed/35832746 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.xinn.2022.100274 Text en © 2022 The Authors https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
spellingShingle Perspective
Zhu, Zhengqiu
Chen, Bin
Chen, Hailiang
Qiu, Sihang
Fan, Changjun
Zhao, Yong
Guo, Runkang
Ai, Chuan
Liu, Zhong
Zhao, Zhiming
Fang, Liqun
Lu, Xin
Strategy evaluation and optimization with an artificial society toward a Pareto optimum
title Strategy evaluation and optimization with an artificial society toward a Pareto optimum
title_full Strategy evaluation and optimization with an artificial society toward a Pareto optimum
title_fullStr Strategy evaluation and optimization with an artificial society toward a Pareto optimum
title_full_unstemmed Strategy evaluation and optimization with an artificial society toward a Pareto optimum
title_short Strategy evaluation and optimization with an artificial society toward a Pareto optimum
title_sort strategy evaluation and optimization with an artificial society toward a pareto optimum
topic Perspective
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9272371/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35832746
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.xinn.2022.100274
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