The predictive value of tumor volume reduction ratio on three-dimensional endorectal ultrasound for tumor response to chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer

BACKGROUND: Preoperative chemoradiotherapy remains part of the standard treatment for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. Subsequent treatment individualization requires accurate prediction of tumor response to chemoradiotherapy. Three-dimensional endorectal ultrasound (3D-ERUS) can automatically capture and store the images of the rectal wall and rectal cancer with high resolution. In this study, we aimed to assess the correlation and predictive value between tumor volume changes measured on 3D-ERUS and the histopathological tumor response after chemoradiotherapy for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. METHODS: A total of 54 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who underwent chemoradiotherapy and had complete 3D-ERUS data pre-and post-chemoradiotherapy were enrolled in the study. The tumor volume pre-and post-chemoradiotherapy was measured manually on 3D-ERUS, and the tumor volume reduction ratio was calculated. The histopathological tumor regression grade (TRG) was used to assess tumor response. The differences in volumetry parameters were compared between groups with varying tumor response. The diagnostic efficacy of the tumor volume reduction ratio was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: The mean age of all patients was 55.19±12.46 years. The relative proportions of TRG 0–3 were 29.6% (16/54), 16.6% (9/54), 50% (27/54), and 3.8% (2/54), respectively. The median tumor volumes post-chemoradiotherapy in good responders (TRG 0–1, median tumor volume =3.26 cm(3)) and the complete response group (TRG 0, median tumor volume =2.61 cm(3)) were smaller than those in poor responders (TRG 2–3, median tumor volume =5.43 cm(3)) and the partial response group (TRG 1–3, median tumor volume =4.00 cm(3)), while tumor volume reduction ratios were higher than those of poor responders (79.32% vs. 59.67%) and the partial response group (82.22% vs. 61.64%), with significant differences (all P values <0.05). The ROC curves showed that the cut-off values of the tumor volume reduction ratio to predict good responders and complete response were 67.77% and 72.02%, respectively. The corresponding areas under the curve in the prediction of good responders and complete response were 0.830 and 0.829, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The tumor volume reduction ratio measured on 3D-ERUS might be a helpful indicator for tumor response in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.