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The effect of dynamic lockdowns on public transport demand in times of COVID-19: Evidence from smartcard data
Governments around the globe have taken different measures to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic, including the lockdown of people to decrease infections. The effect of such a strategy on transport demand is important not only for the current pandemic but also to understand changes in transport use and fo...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier Ltd.
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9283383/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35855479 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2022.06.012 |
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author | Gramsch, Benjamin Guevara, C. Angelo Munizaga, Marcela Schwartz, Daniel Tirachini, Alejandro |
author_facet | Gramsch, Benjamin Guevara, C. Angelo Munizaga, Marcela Schwartz, Daniel Tirachini, Alejandro |
author_sort | Gramsch, Benjamin |
collection | PubMed |
description | Governments around the globe have taken different measures to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic, including the lockdown of people to decrease infections. The effect of such a strategy on transport demand is important not only for the current pandemic but also to understand changes in transport use and for future emergencies. We analyse a 2019–2020 database of smartcard data of trips from the city of Santiago, Chile, which followed a dynamic lockdown strategy in which its municipalities were temporarily restricted. We use this variation over time across municipalities to study the effect of lockdowns on public transportation using trips on buses and metro, accounting for the variation of municipalities that were under lockdown in a given day. We found a decrease of 72.3% at the beginning of the pandemic when schools suspended in-person classes, while the dynamic lockdowns reduced public transport demand by 12.1%. We also found that the effect of lockdowns decreased after the fifth week of their application, suggesting a short-term effectiveness of such policy to reduce mobility. Regarding sociodemographic effects, we found that lockdowns have a stronger impact on reducing public transport demand in municipalities with a larger proportion of the elderly population (2% additional reduction per 1% increase in the share of the elderly population) and high-income households (16% additional reduction for 1000 USD increase in GDP per capita). |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9283383 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Elsevier Ltd. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-92833832022-07-15 The effect of dynamic lockdowns on public transport demand in times of COVID-19: Evidence from smartcard data Gramsch, Benjamin Guevara, C. Angelo Munizaga, Marcela Schwartz, Daniel Tirachini, Alejandro Transp Policy (Oxf) Article Governments around the globe have taken different measures to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic, including the lockdown of people to decrease infections. The effect of such a strategy on transport demand is important not only for the current pandemic but also to understand changes in transport use and for future emergencies. We analyse a 2019–2020 database of smartcard data of trips from the city of Santiago, Chile, which followed a dynamic lockdown strategy in which its municipalities were temporarily restricted. We use this variation over time across municipalities to study the effect of lockdowns on public transportation using trips on buses and metro, accounting for the variation of municipalities that were under lockdown in a given day. We found a decrease of 72.3% at the beginning of the pandemic when schools suspended in-person classes, while the dynamic lockdowns reduced public transport demand by 12.1%. We also found that the effect of lockdowns decreased after the fifth week of their application, suggesting a short-term effectiveness of such policy to reduce mobility. Regarding sociodemographic effects, we found that lockdowns have a stronger impact on reducing public transport demand in municipalities with a larger proportion of the elderly population (2% additional reduction per 1% increase in the share of the elderly population) and high-income households (16% additional reduction for 1000 USD increase in GDP per capita). Elsevier Ltd. 2022-09 2022-07-15 /pmc/articles/PMC9283383/ /pubmed/35855479 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2022.06.012 Text en © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Gramsch, Benjamin Guevara, C. Angelo Munizaga, Marcela Schwartz, Daniel Tirachini, Alejandro The effect of dynamic lockdowns on public transport demand in times of COVID-19: Evidence from smartcard data |
title | The effect of dynamic lockdowns on public transport demand in times of COVID-19: Evidence from smartcard data |
title_full | The effect of dynamic lockdowns on public transport demand in times of COVID-19: Evidence from smartcard data |
title_fullStr | The effect of dynamic lockdowns on public transport demand in times of COVID-19: Evidence from smartcard data |
title_full_unstemmed | The effect of dynamic lockdowns on public transport demand in times of COVID-19: Evidence from smartcard data |
title_short | The effect of dynamic lockdowns on public transport demand in times of COVID-19: Evidence from smartcard data |
title_sort | effect of dynamic lockdowns on public transport demand in times of covid-19: evidence from smartcard data |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9283383/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35855479 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2022.06.012 |
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