Cargando…

Variability of ENSO Forecast Skill in 2‐Year Global Reforecasts Over the 20th Century

In order to explore temporal changes of predictability of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a novel set of global biennial climate reforecasts for the historical period 1901–2010 has been generated using a modern initialized coupled forecasting system. We find distinct periods of enhanced long‐ra...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Weisheimer, Antje, Balmaseda, Magdalena A., Stockdale, Tim N., Mayer, Michael, Sharmila, S., Hendon, Harry, Alves, Oscar
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2022
Materias:	Research Letter
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9285585/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35859720 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022GL097885

Ejemplares similares

Monthly ENSO Forecast Skill and Lagged Ensemble Size
por: Trenary, L., et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Insignificant QBO‐MJO Prediction Skill Relationship in the SubX and S2S Subseasonal Reforecasts
por: Kim, Hyemi, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Atmospheric seasonal forecasts of the twentieth century: multi‐decadal variability in predictive skill of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and their potential value for extreme event attribution
por: Weisheimer, Antje, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Seasonal to annual ocean forecasting skill and the role of model and observational uncertainty
por: Juricke, Stephan, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Salinity anomaly as a trigger for ENSO events
por: Zhu, Jieshun, et al.
Publicado: (2014)

Mean Bias in Seasonal Forecast Model and ENSO Prediction Error
por: Kim, Seon Tae, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Opposite polarities of ENSO drive distinct patterns of coral bleaching potentials in the southeast Indian Ocean
por: Zhang, Ningning, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Impact of equatorial Atlantic variability on ENSO predictive skill
por: Exarchou, Eleftheria, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts
por: Weisheimer, A., et al.
Publicado: (2014)

Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parametrizations: impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system
por: Weisheimer, Antje, et al.
Publicado: (2014)

Deterministic skill of ENSO predictions from the North American Multimodel Ensemble
por: Barnston, Anthony G., et al.
Publicado: (2017)

The NAO Variability Prediction and Forecasting with Multiple Time Scales Driven by ENSO Using Machine Learning Approaches
por: Mu, Bin, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Impacts of IOD, ENSO and ENSO Modoki on the Australian Winter Wheat Yields in Recent Decades
por: Yuan, Chaoxia, et al.
Publicado: (2015)

Rainfall Mechanisms for the Dominant Rainfall Mode over Zimbabwe Relative to ENSO and/or IODZM
por: Manatsa, Desmond, et al.
Publicado: (2012)

The atmospheric electrical index for ENSO modoki: Is ENSO modoki one of the factors responsible for the warming trend slowdown?
por: Kulkarni, Madhuri N., et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Direct and indirect ENSO modulation of winter temperature over the Asian–Pacific–American region
por: Leung, Marco Y. T., et al.
Publicado: (2016)

A Modal Rendition of ENSO Diversity
por: Chattopadhyay, Rajib, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Phenological Responses to ENSO in the Global Oceans
por: Racault, M.-F., et al.
Publicado: (2016)

ENSO modulates wildfire activity in China
por: Fang, Keyan, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

The influence of pacific winds on ENSO diversity
por: Capotondi, Antonietta, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Mechanisms of multiyear variations of Northern Australia wet-season rainfall
por: Sharmila, S., et al.
Publicado: (2020)

A self-attention–based neural network for three-dimensional multivariate modeling and its skillful ENSO predictions
por: Zhou, Lu, et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Predicting El Niño in 2014 and 2015
por: Ineson, Sarah, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Double Tropopauses and the Tropical Belt Connected to ENSO
por: Wilhelmsen, Hallgeir, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Temporal Convolutional Networks for the Advance Prediction of ENSO
por: Yan, Jining, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Enhancing the ENSO Predictability beyond the Spring Barrier
por: Chen, Han-Ching, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

ENSO impacts child undernutrition in the global tropics
por: Anttila-Hughes, Jesse K., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

ENSO’s far reaching connection to Indian cold waves
por: Ratnam, J. V., et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Modulation of hydroxyl variability by ENSO in the absence of external forcing
por: Turner, Alexander J., et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Dynamical and Thermodynamical Influences of the Maritime Continent on ENSO Evolution
por: Zhang, Tuantuan, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Complex picture for likelihood of ENSO-driven flood hazard
por: Emerton, R., et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Fingerprint of volcanic forcing on the ENSO–Indian monsoon coupling
por: Singh, M., et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Nonstationary footprints of ENSO in the Mekong River Delta hydrology
por: Watanabe, Takaaki K., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Cardiorespiratory Fitness in Occupational Groups—Trends over 20 Years and Future Forecasts
por: Väisänen, Daniel, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

The contribution of super typhoons to tropical cyclone activity in response to ENSO
por: Kang, Nam-Young, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Increased influence of ENSO on Antarctic temperature since the Industrial Era
por: Rahaman, Waliur, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Greening of the Sahara suppressed ENSO activity during the mid-Holocene
por: Pausata, Francesco S. R., et al.
Publicado: (2017)

The changing relationship between ENSO and its extratropical response patterns
por: Soulard, Nicholas, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Modulation of late Pleistocene ENSO strength by the tropical Pacific thermocline
por: Rustic, Gerald T., et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Modeling ENSO impact on rice production in the Mekong River Delta
por: Tan Yen, Bui, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Cannot write session to /tmp/vufind_sessions/sess_u69itk5vmjih6e8okfvjekplmp