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Evolution of Tropical Cyclone Properties Across the Development Cycle of the GISS‐E3 Global Climate Model

The next‐generation global climate model from the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, GISS‐E3, contains many improvements to resolution and physics that allow for improved representation of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the model. This study examines the properties of TCs in two different version...

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Autores principales: Russotto, Rick D., Strong, Jeffrey D. O., Camargo, Suzana J., Sobel, Adam, Elsaesser, Gregory S., Kelley, Maxwell, Del Genio, Anthony, Moon, Yumin, Kim, Daehyun
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9286432/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35865216
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002601
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author Russotto, Rick D.
Strong, Jeffrey D. O.
Camargo, Suzana J.
Sobel, Adam
Elsaesser, Gregory S.
Kelley, Maxwell
Del Genio, Anthony
Moon, Yumin
Kim, Daehyun
author_facet Russotto, Rick D.
Strong, Jeffrey D. O.
Camargo, Suzana J.
Sobel, Adam
Elsaesser, Gregory S.
Kelley, Maxwell
Del Genio, Anthony
Moon, Yumin
Kim, Daehyun
author_sort Russotto, Rick D.
collection PubMed
description The next‐generation global climate model from the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, GISS‐E3, contains many improvements to resolution and physics that allow for improved representation of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the model. This study examines the properties of TCs in two different versions of E3 at different points in its development cycle, run for 20 years at 0.5° resolution, and compares these TCs with observations, the previous generation GISS model, E2, and other climate models. E3 shares many TC biases common to global climate models, such as having too few tropical cyclones, but is much improved from E2. E3 produces strong enough TCs that observation‐based wind speed thresholds can now be used to detect and track them, and some storms now reach hurricane intensity; neither of these was true of E2. Model development between the first and second versions of E3 further increased the number and intensity of TCs and reduced TC count biases globally and in most regions. One‐year sensitivity tests to changes in various microphysical and dynamical tuning parameters are also examined. Increasing the entrainment rate for the more strongly entraining plume in the convection scheme increases the number of TCs (though also affecting other climate variables, and in some cases increasing biases). Variations in divergence damping did not have a strong effect on simulated TC properties, contrary to expectations based on previous studies. Overall, the improvements in E3 make it more credible for studies of TC activity and its relationship to climate.
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spelling pubmed-92864322022-07-19 Evolution of Tropical Cyclone Properties Across the Development Cycle of the GISS‐E3 Global Climate Model Russotto, Rick D. Strong, Jeffrey D. O. Camargo, Suzana J. Sobel, Adam Elsaesser, Gregory S. Kelley, Maxwell Del Genio, Anthony Moon, Yumin Kim, Daehyun J Adv Model Earth Syst Research Article The next‐generation global climate model from the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, GISS‐E3, contains many improvements to resolution and physics that allow for improved representation of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the model. This study examines the properties of TCs in two different versions of E3 at different points in its development cycle, run for 20 years at 0.5° resolution, and compares these TCs with observations, the previous generation GISS model, E2, and other climate models. E3 shares many TC biases common to global climate models, such as having too few tropical cyclones, but is much improved from E2. E3 produces strong enough TCs that observation‐based wind speed thresholds can now be used to detect and track them, and some storms now reach hurricane intensity; neither of these was true of E2. Model development between the first and second versions of E3 further increased the number and intensity of TCs and reduced TC count biases globally and in most regions. One‐year sensitivity tests to changes in various microphysical and dynamical tuning parameters are also examined. Increasing the entrainment rate for the more strongly entraining plume in the convection scheme increases the number of TCs (though also affecting other climate variables, and in some cases increasing biases). Variations in divergence damping did not have a strong effect on simulated TC properties, contrary to expectations based on previous studies. Overall, the improvements in E3 make it more credible for studies of TC activity and its relationship to climate. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2022-01-05 2022-01 /pmc/articles/PMC9286432/ /pubmed/35865216 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002601 Text en © 2021 The Authors. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Geophysical Union. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Russotto, Rick D.
Strong, Jeffrey D. O.
Camargo, Suzana J.
Sobel, Adam
Elsaesser, Gregory S.
Kelley, Maxwell
Del Genio, Anthony
Moon, Yumin
Kim, Daehyun
Evolution of Tropical Cyclone Properties Across the Development Cycle of the GISS‐E3 Global Climate Model
title Evolution of Tropical Cyclone Properties Across the Development Cycle of the GISS‐E3 Global Climate Model
title_full Evolution of Tropical Cyclone Properties Across the Development Cycle of the GISS‐E3 Global Climate Model
title_fullStr Evolution of Tropical Cyclone Properties Across the Development Cycle of the GISS‐E3 Global Climate Model
title_full_unstemmed Evolution of Tropical Cyclone Properties Across the Development Cycle of the GISS‐E3 Global Climate Model
title_short Evolution of Tropical Cyclone Properties Across the Development Cycle of the GISS‐E3 Global Climate Model
title_sort evolution of tropical cyclone properties across the development cycle of the giss‐e3 global climate model
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9286432/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35865216
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002601
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