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The COVID-19 pandemic – How many times were we warned before?

Infectious diseases are known to act in both predictable and unpredictable ways, which leads to the notions of emerging and reemerging infectious diseases. Emerging diseases with their disastrous consequences might be surprising and unpredictable, but they could be foreseen. For instance, some emerg...

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Autores principales: Mahroum, Naim, Seida, Isa, Esirgün, Sevval Nil, Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Federation of Internal Medicine. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9289047/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35864073
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejim.2022.07.009
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author Mahroum, Naim
Seida, Isa
Esirgün, Sevval Nil
Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi
author_facet Mahroum, Naim
Seida, Isa
Esirgün, Sevval Nil
Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi
author_sort Mahroum, Naim
collection PubMed
description Infectious diseases are known to act in both predictable and unpredictable ways, which leads to the notions of emerging and reemerging infectious diseases. Emerging diseases with their disastrous consequences might be surprising and unpredictable, but they could be foreseen. For instance, some emerging diseases and recently the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) were the reason for papers published by the World Health Organization (WHO) and other researchers addressing the likely pathogens causing future outbreaks, according to the reports of the WHO in 2016 and 2018. Although it might seem like a wisdom in retrospect, several studies had already indicated possible future outbreaks caused by coronaviruses. Announcements, which may be viewed as “warnings,” appeared since the emergence of the first coronavirus-related outbreak caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) in the winter of 2002–2003 and a later outbreak caused by the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) in 2012–2013. Therefore, we were curious to review the medical literature prior to the COVID-19 pandemic with an aim to enumerate and evaluate studies addressing and warning against future outbreaks, and surprisingly pandemics, of members of coronaviruses. Interestingly, we found numerous studies that correctly predicted the current pandemic of COVID-19. While this part is highly interesting, how authorities reacted and prepared for warnings, if any, and how will they get prepared for the next warnings are our main messages. Taking these points into serious consideration will certainly aid in analyzing reports regarding possible future outbreaks as well as in developing various strategies for prevention and coping with such epidemics.
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spelling pubmed-92890472022-07-18 The COVID-19 pandemic – How many times were we warned before? Mahroum, Naim Seida, Isa Esirgün, Sevval Nil Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi Eur J Intern Med Review Article Infectious diseases are known to act in both predictable and unpredictable ways, which leads to the notions of emerging and reemerging infectious diseases. Emerging diseases with their disastrous consequences might be surprising and unpredictable, but they could be foreseen. For instance, some emerging diseases and recently the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) were the reason for papers published by the World Health Organization (WHO) and other researchers addressing the likely pathogens causing future outbreaks, according to the reports of the WHO in 2016 and 2018. Although it might seem like a wisdom in retrospect, several studies had already indicated possible future outbreaks caused by coronaviruses. Announcements, which may be viewed as “warnings,” appeared since the emergence of the first coronavirus-related outbreak caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) in the winter of 2002–2003 and a later outbreak caused by the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) in 2012–2013. Therefore, we were curious to review the medical literature prior to the COVID-19 pandemic with an aim to enumerate and evaluate studies addressing and warning against future outbreaks, and surprisingly pandemics, of members of coronaviruses. Interestingly, we found numerous studies that correctly predicted the current pandemic of COVID-19. While this part is highly interesting, how authorities reacted and prepared for warnings, if any, and how will they get prepared for the next warnings are our main messages. Taking these points into serious consideration will certainly aid in analyzing reports regarding possible future outbreaks as well as in developing various strategies for prevention and coping with such epidemics. European Federation of Internal Medicine. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2022-11 2022-07-18 /pmc/articles/PMC9289047/ /pubmed/35864073 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejim.2022.07.009 Text en © 2022 European Federation of Internal Medicine. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Review Article
Mahroum, Naim
Seida, Isa
Esirgün, Sevval Nil
Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi
The COVID-19 pandemic – How many times were we warned before?
title The COVID-19 pandemic – How many times were we warned before?
title_full The COVID-19 pandemic – How many times were we warned before?
title_fullStr The COVID-19 pandemic – How many times were we warned before?
title_full_unstemmed The COVID-19 pandemic – How many times were we warned before?
title_short The COVID-19 pandemic – How many times were we warned before?
title_sort covid-19 pandemic – how many times were we warned before?
topic Review Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9289047/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35864073
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejim.2022.07.009
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