Anthropogenic CO(2) emission reduction during the COVID-19 pandemic in Nanchang City, China()

China is the largest CO(2) emitting country on Earth. During the COVID-19 pandemic, China implemented strict government control measures on both outdoor activity and industrial production. These control measures, therefore, were expected to significantly reduce anthropogenic CO(2) emissions. However, large discrepancies still exist in the estimated anthropogenic CO(2) emission reduction rate caused by COVID-19 restrictions, with values ranging from 10% to 40% among different approaches. Here, we selected Nanchang city, located in eastern China, to examine the impact of COVID-19 on CO(2) emissions. Continuous atmospheric CO(2) and ground-level CO observations from January 1st to April 30th, 2019 to 2021 were used with the WRF-STILT atmospheric transport model and a priori emissions. And a multiplicative scaling factor and Bayesian inversion method were applied to constrain anthropogenic CO(2) emissions before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic. We found a 37.1–40.2% emission reduction when compared to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 with the same period in 2019. Carbon dioxide emissions from the power industry and manufacturing industry decreased by 54.5% and 18.9% during the pandemic period. The power industry accounted for 73.9% of total CO(2) reductions during COVID-19. Further, emissions in 2021 were 14.3–14.9% larger than in 2019, indicating that economic activity quickly recovered to pre-pandemic conditions.