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The challenges of dynamic vulnerability and how to assess it

Recent disasters have demonstrated the challenges faced by society as a result of the increasing complexity of disaster risk. In this perspective article, we discuss the complex interactions between hazards and vulnerability and suggest methodological approaches to assess and include dynamics of vul...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: de Ruiter, Marleen C., van Loon, Anne F.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9304616/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35874100
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2022.104720
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author de Ruiter, Marleen C.
van Loon, Anne F.
author_facet de Ruiter, Marleen C.
van Loon, Anne F.
author_sort de Ruiter, Marleen C.
collection PubMed
description Recent disasters have demonstrated the challenges faced by society as a result of the increasing complexity of disaster risk. In this perspective article, we discuss the complex interactions between hazards and vulnerability and suggest methodological approaches to assess and include dynamics of vulnerability in our risk assessments, learning from the compound and multi-hazard, socio-hydrology, and socio-ecological research communities. We argue for a changed perspective, starting with the circumstances that determine dynamic vulnerability. We identify three types of dynamics of vulnerability: (1) the underlying dynamics of vulnerability, (2) changes in vulnerability during long-lasting disasters, and (3) changes in vulnerability during compounding disasters and societal shocks. We conclude that there is great potential to capture the dynamics of vulnerability using qualitative and model-based methods, both for reproducing historic and projecting future dynamics of vulnerability. We provide examples using narratives, agent-based models, and system dynamics.
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spelling pubmed-93046162022-07-23 The challenges of dynamic vulnerability and how to assess it de Ruiter, Marleen C. van Loon, Anne F. iScience Perspective Recent disasters have demonstrated the challenges faced by society as a result of the increasing complexity of disaster risk. In this perspective article, we discuss the complex interactions between hazards and vulnerability and suggest methodological approaches to assess and include dynamics of vulnerability in our risk assessments, learning from the compound and multi-hazard, socio-hydrology, and socio-ecological research communities. We argue for a changed perspective, starting with the circumstances that determine dynamic vulnerability. We identify three types of dynamics of vulnerability: (1) the underlying dynamics of vulnerability, (2) changes in vulnerability during long-lasting disasters, and (3) changes in vulnerability during compounding disasters and societal shocks. We conclude that there is great potential to capture the dynamics of vulnerability using qualitative and model-based methods, both for reproducing historic and projecting future dynamics of vulnerability. We provide examples using narratives, agent-based models, and system dynamics. Elsevier 2022-07-04 /pmc/articles/PMC9304616/ /pubmed/35874100 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2022.104720 Text en © 2022 The Author(s) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Perspective
de Ruiter, Marleen C.
van Loon, Anne F.
The challenges of dynamic vulnerability and how to assess it
title The challenges of dynamic vulnerability and how to assess it
title_full The challenges of dynamic vulnerability and how to assess it
title_fullStr The challenges of dynamic vulnerability and how to assess it
title_full_unstemmed The challenges of dynamic vulnerability and how to assess it
title_short The challenges of dynamic vulnerability and how to assess it
title_sort challenges of dynamic vulnerability and how to assess it
topic Perspective
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9304616/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35874100
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2022.104720
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